NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	7.2 [385]		MVP	JaVale McGee (WAS): +18.5%
Washington Wizards	98		Comeback	9.8 [109]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (NJN): -29.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	16	58%	0.22	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	17	46%	0.15	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.03
Anthony Morrow	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.04	0.01	13	68%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Johan Petro	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	8	26%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Sundiata Gaines	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	4	20%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Damion James	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18	-0.03	-0.14	0.01	7	57%	0.00	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29	-0.13	-0.17	0.00	14	36%	-0.11	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	9	89%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	0.01	11	68%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.09,0.04,0.14	0.14	-0.02	0.16	0.01	22	52%	0.28	4	-0.15	6	67%	-0.03
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	17	54%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	8	45%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	41%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Othyus Jeffers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	0.7	26.2	14.6	25.3	1.7	36.2	128.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +54.4%

NJN -17.8%

NJN -33.1%

WAS +45.1%

WAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	17.0	15.0	15.5	103.4	107.7	105.7
season	16.4	15.1		101.6	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.3		108.7	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.3	16.7	18.3	16.8	17.0
WAS	15.7	14.7	16.0	13.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damion James	55	57	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.19	8	-14	22	15.7	19.0	-3.28	15.7	13.8	1.91
Travis Outlaw	23	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-4	2	17.9	16.7	1.23	14.5	15.2	-0.65
Johan Petro	23	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	18.3	16.6	1.70	14.9	15.1	-0.20
Stephen Graham	8	8	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-2	-2	21.1	16.6	4.53	12.2	15.3	-3.04
Brook Lopez	72	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-8	10	16.5	18.9	-2.40	15.5	13.1	2.38
Kris Humphries	72	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-5	4	17.0	17.2	-0.22	15.6	12.7	2.87
Jordan Farmar	66	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-8	10	16.4	18.8	-2.40	15.1	14.7	0.44
Anthony Morrow	64	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-4	2	15.8	20.1	-4.28	15.8	13.0	2.80
Sasha Vujacic	34	34	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	-16	10	-26	19.9	15.2	4.66	12.1	16.8	-4.68
Sundiata Gaines	28	28	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	7	-20	18.5	16.3	2.19	13.7	15.6	-1.89

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Crawford	84	81	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-6	18	15.2	13.0	2.19	16.7	20.2	-3.57
Maurice Evans	61	60	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.24	13	-7	20	14.0	17.0	-2.95	17.6	15.7	1.99
JaVale McGee	72	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	1	4	15.8	11.9	3.95	17.0	17.0	0.00
John Wall	75	73	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	5	-4	15.2	14.2	1.01	16.2	20.5	-4.27
Yi Jianlian	69	69	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	4	-2	15.5	13.4	2.13	16.0	20.3	-4.32
Othyus Jeffers	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	6	-6	10.5	15.8	-5.23	19.6	16.6	2.99
Kevin Seraphin	8	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	7	-8	12.7	15.2	-2.49	21.2	16.6	4.67
Trevor Booker	64	62	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	9	-12	15.1	14.7	0.40	17.1	16.7	0.43
Cartier Martin	9	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	5	-4	15.7	15.0	0.72	20.7	16.5	4.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.86,0.7,0.78,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 104, SAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.74,0.84,0.95,1	91.6%
PHX 114, IND 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.96,0.96,1	90.8%
HOU 94, NOK 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.56,0.56,0.4,0.58,0.57,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.83,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.97,1	90.8%