NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	90		Excitement	8.5 [173]		MVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): +40.5%
New Jersey Nets	94		Comeback	4.1 [260]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -27.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Acie Law	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	61%	0.12	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Al Thornton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.1,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	48%	0.07	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03	0.06	-0.09	-0.00	7	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	10	45%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Lou Amundson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ekpe Udoh	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	6	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27	-0.12	-0.14	0.01	22	35%	-0.19	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.39,0.4	0.41	0.15	0.28	0.02	17	65%	0.43	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.07
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	7	65%	0.07	3	-0.11	3	33%	-0.10
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.12	0.01	16	50%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	10	20%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.04
Anthony Morrow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.06	-0.18	0.01	17	61%	-0.01	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	27.5	15.4	23.2	1.8	31.1	123.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +16.1%

NJN +12.7%

NJN +16.7%

NJN +1.8%

NJN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NJN	NBA	GSW	NJN	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	15.5	98.9	101.1	105.7
season	14.8	16.4		106.6	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		108.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.8	14.3	17.0	13.6	14.6
NJN	14.5	17.0	17.3	18.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	31	32	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.08	9	-13	22	16.2	13.8	2.43	18.3	15.8	2.52
Ekpe Udoh	28	29	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-8	12	15.4	14.3	1.10	17.1	16.5	0.60
Vladimir Radmanovic	14	15	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-7	10	16.4	14.3	2.08	17.7	16.5	1.17
Al Thornton	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	2	-8	13.2	15.0	-1.81	16.7	16.7	0.06
Lou Amundson	19	20	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-2	0	16.0	14.2	1.78	19.3	16.0	3.39
Andris Biedrins	47	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-2	0	14.2	15.0	-0.74	16.1	17.3	-1.21
David Lee	72	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-2	0	14.2	16.0	-1.78	16.0	19.3	-3.39
Reggie Williams	26	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.38	1	-5	6	15.7	14.1	1.59	17.8	16.2	1.54
Dorell Wright	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-1	-2	14.0	16.5	-2.51	16.4	17.6	-1.24
Monta Ellis	68	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.39	-9	5	-14	14.7	14.3	0.45	16.6	17.0	-0.47
Stephen Curry	60	61	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.30	-13	9	-22	13.8	16.2	-2.43	15.8	18.3	-2.52

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sundiata Gaines	46	47	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.36	21	-17	38	15.6	17.7	-2.09	14.2	15.0	-0.79
Anthony Morrow	81	79	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.40	15	-11	26	16.2	20.0	-3.80	14.8	13.2	1.64
Brook Lopez	78	75	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.42	12	-8	20	16.4	17.9	-1.48	14.7	14.1	0.57
Kris Humphries	73	73	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	-1	6	16.3	18.0	-1.73	14.0	17.2	-3.21
Sasha Vujacic	62	61	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	5	-6	16.8	16.4	0.40	14.2	15.4	-1.15
Stephen Graham	15	14	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	7	-10	15.9	16.8	-0.90	15.0	14.5	0.48
Brandan Wright	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	4	-4	18.9	16.4	2.52	14.2	14.6	-0.47
Ben Uzoh	7	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	8	-12	17.0	16.7	0.34	16.8	14.5	2.33
Dan Gadzuric	10	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	8	-12	18.4	16.5	1.92	15.6	14.4	1.19
Travis Outlaw	22	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.02	-2	6	-8	16.7	16.7	0.05	15.7	14.2	1.42
Jordan Farmar	60	56	-0.51	1.01	-1.53	0.04	-19	23	-42	18.2	13.9	4.35	14.9	14.2	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.59,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.45,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.48,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.37,0.53,0.72,1	90.6%
DET 86, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.42,1	90.3%
POR 107, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.71,0.57,0.73,1	90.0%