NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	95		Excitement	3.7 [1126]		MVP	John Salmons (MIL): +13.6%
Washington Wizards	76		Comeback	1.4 [701]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -21.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	14	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Carlos Delfino	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.02	11	60%	0.10	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Brandon Jennings	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	20	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	13	50%	0.05	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	9	60%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jon Brockman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	3	12%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamady Ndiaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	17	59%	0.06	5	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mustafa Shakur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	13	37%	0.01	5	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	9	39%	-0.04	4	-0.07	5	20%	-0.01
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.23	-0.03	-0.04	17	26%	-0.11	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.8	29.1	16.5	22.4	2.3	25.3	125.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +36.9%

MIL +2.3%

WAS -7.6%

MIL +19.5%

WAS -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.5	100.0	80.0	105.7
season	16.2	15.1		100.1	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.4		108.7	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.2	14.4	15.0	20.4	15.3
WAS	17.8	15.6	12.7	13.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	69	69	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.19	25	-6	31	13.6	20.0	-6.42	15.0	14.9	0.08
Brandon Jennings	64	64	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.18	24	-5	29	13.2	19.8	-6.68	15.1	14.7	0.40
Luc Mbah a Moute	71	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	2	15	13.9	19.7	-5.79	14.9	15.3	-0.47
Andrew Bogut	66	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	5	9	15.6	14.8	0.83	15.2	14.4	0.81
Carlos Delfino	71	71	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	14	-9	15.4	15.2	0.23	15.2	14.3	0.86
Keyon Dooling	46	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	9	1	17.3	13.4	3.90	15.0	15.0	-0.00
Jon Brockman	14	13	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	12	-5	17.0	15.0	1.95	15.8	14.8	1.00
Larry Sanders	39	40	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	19	-19	17.0	14.2	2.78	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Chris Douglas-Roberts	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	21.5	15.1	6.43	9.3	15.2	-5.83
Earl Boykins	31	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	24	-29	19.8	13.2	6.68	14.7	15.1	-0.40

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	6	5	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.06	5	-24	29	19.5	14.7	4.83	17.4	15.2	2.18
Hamady Ndiaye	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-16	13	18.9	14.6	4.32	17.1	15.1	1.97
Mustafa Shakur	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-13	7	14.1	15.1	-1.03	16.7	15.1	1.52
JaVale McGee	49	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-16	13	16.1	13.8	2.36	15.7	14.9	0.79
Yi Jianlian	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-9	-1	13.7	15.5	-1.73	16.0	15.1	0.87
Nick Young	67	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-12	5	15.1	14.6	0.58	15.0	16.0	-0.95
Kevin Seraphin	46	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-3	-13	13.8	16.1	-2.36	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Trevor Booker	62	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-10	1	14.8	15.4	-0.64	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Jordan Crawford	52	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.31	-22	3	-25	14.5	15.5	-1.02	16.1	14.5	1.60
John Wall	78	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-12	5	15.3	13.6	1.62	15.3	15.3	0.05
Maurice Evans	67	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.11	-17	-2	-15	14.8	15.5	-0.74	14.3	17.6	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 86, LAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.5%
ATL 108, NJN 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
PHX 121, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%