NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	108		Excitement	3.6 [1065]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (ATL): +13.2%
New Jersey Nets	84		Comeback	1.2 [1033]		LVP	Terrence Williams (NJN): -8.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.02	0.04	18	66%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	10	68%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Mario West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Boone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	68%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	60%	0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	45%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.06	15	55%	0.02	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	7	28%	-0.05	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	16	39%	-0.08	2	0.00	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.6	30.0	14.7	23.8	2.0	31.3	127.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.1%

NJN -2.0%

ATL +1.2%

ATL +9.1%

ATL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	13.8	17.4	15.3	116.1	91.3	106.0
season	16.0	15.9		109.4	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.8		108.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.1	12.9	15.0	15.3	13.8
NJN	17.4	17.7	17.8	16.7	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	57	57	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.11	22	2	20	13.0	15.0	-2.00	18.1	16.2	1.91
Jamal Crawford	54	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.30	28	-4	32	13.5	14.1	-0.57	17.7	16.9	0.79
Marvin Williams	62	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.21	22	2	20	13.5	14.3	-0.82	18.5	15.2	3.25
Josh Smith	51	52	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	11	2	12.6	15.2	-2.54	18.2	16.4	1.78
Mike Bibby	51	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	14	-4	12.5	15.4	-2.89	17.7	16.9	0.76
Maurice Evans	52	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.30	19	5	14	14.7	12.6	2.17	16.4	18.5	-2.06
Joe Smith	32	31	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.21	10	14	-4	15.4	12.9	2.49	17.1	17.5	-0.38
Jason Collins	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	14.4	13.7	0.70	13.8	17.8	-3.99
Randolph Morris	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	23	-22	14.4	13.7	0.70	13.8	17.8	-3.99
Mario West	21	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	27	-30	15.4	13.3	2.08	15.6	17.9	-2.28
Jeff Teague	39	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	28	-32	14.1	13.5	0.57	16.9	17.7	-0.79
Zaza Pachulia	26	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	23	-22	15.2	13.2	2.02	17.0	17.5	-0.48

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Quinn	21	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.25	-10	-14	4	15.8	17.8	-2.04	15.0	13.4	1.67
Trenton Hassell	27	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-22	20	18.3	17.0	1.30	13.1	14.0	-0.97
Chris Douglas-Roberts	27	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-22	20	17.1	17.5	-0.33	15.6	13.1	2.50
Courtney Lee	54	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-20	16	17.6	17.1	0.56	13.8	13.7	0.11
Josh Boone	61	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-18	12	17.4	17.4	0.04	13.6	14.0	-0.40
Kris Humphries	49	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.31	-22	-2	-20	17.1	17.7	-0.51	14.6	12.8	1.80
Brook Lopez	71	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-9	-6	17.5	17.0	0.49	13.1	15.9	-2.74
Terrence Williams	61	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.21	-20	-4	-16	16.8	18.5	-1.76	14.5	12.3	2.13
Keyon Dooling	49	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-12	0	17.9	16.8	1.15	12.5	15.2	-2.71
Jarvis Hayes	40	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.33	-27	3	-30	17.7	17.1	0.65	13.1	14.3	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 102, NOH 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.34,0.25,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
CLE 121, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
GSW 112, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%