NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	77		Excitement	7.0 [427]		MVP	Ronnie Brewer (CHI): +9.2%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	1.6 [1027]		LVP	David West (NOH): -25.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	-0.04	0.07	-0.05	19	51%	0.21	5	-0.13	7	86%	0.03
Marco Belinelli	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.03	0.01	12	65%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Gray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	7	44%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Willie Green	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	13	23%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.25,-0.25	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	17	30%	-0.18	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	14	61%	0.13	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	40%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.06
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.05	0.02	21	49%	0.10	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	12	34%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.12	0.02	8	33%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.7	28.1	15.5	26.4	1.7	36.2	131.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +9.0%

CHI +15.7%

CHI +11.3%

CHI +11.4%

CHI +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	CHI	NBA	NOH	CHI	NBA
this game	17.0	17.1	15.5	90.6	101.2	105.7
season	16.2	15.7		104.6	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.9		99.2	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.6	19.0	14.8	17.6	17.0
CHI	17.7	15.1	16.5	19.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	44	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-10	12	16.8	17.2	-0.42	17.1	17.1	-0.04
Carl Landry	38	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-13	18	17.5	16.6	0.90	17.5	16.8	0.74
Aaron Gray	6	5	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-5	2	18.7	16.8	1.82	16.2	17.2	-0.96
Willie Green	55	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-7	6	17.6	15.9	1.72	17.3	16.8	0.53
Emeka Okafor	52	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	16.2	18.2	-1.97	17.8	15.9	1.83
Marco Belinelli	78	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.27	-10	2	-12	17.0	16.7	0.29	17.0	18.8	-1.86
David West	74	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	5	-18	17.1	16.0	1.12	16.5	21.3	-4.79
Jarrett Jack	78	76	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.20	-15	7	-22	16.6	20.7	-4.07	17.1	17.0	0.12

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	68	70	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.14	18	-10	28	16.5	19.7	-3.19	17.1	16.3	0.78
Derrick Rose	72	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	0	8	17.3	16.0	1.29	16.6	18.9	-2.34
Omer Asik	23	25	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	-3	14	15.9	17.6	-1.70	18.9	16.2	2.70
Carlos Boozer	52	50	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	2	4	17.3	16.8	0.53	17.2	16.7	0.45
Keith Bogans	34	32	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-3	14	16.6	17.4	-0.82	16.6	17.2	-0.66
Joakim Noah	55	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	6	-4	17.5	16.4	1.01	15.9	18.9	-3.02
Ronnie Brewer	34	36	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	11	-14	16.9	17.2	-0.28	17.7	16.4	1.34
Taj Gibson	38	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	11	-14	17.1	17.1	-0.05	17.0	16.9	0.09
Kyle Korver	28	29	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	14	-20	18.1	16.6	1.45	16.7	17.1	-0.38
CJ Watson	16	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	12	-16	18.6	16.8	1.80	17.6	16.8	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.72,0.69,0.6,0.52,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.83,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.91,1	93.5%
LAC 94, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.92,1	93.2%
BKN 93, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.61,0.84,0.98,1,1	92.7%