NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	84		Excitement	4.2 [996]		MVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): +12.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	1.3 [875]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -11.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DJ White	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	73%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	10	55%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	22	47%	-0.02	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	11	30%	-0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	10	36%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.00	14	62%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	46%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	25	48%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	28.5	15.7	30.2	1.7	26.3	126.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.4%

LAL +10.5%

LAL +4.4%

LAL +7.5%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAL	NBA	CHA	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.8	15.5	91.3	100.0	105.7
season	16.2	15.9		102.3	108.8
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.1	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.5	17.5	14.8	13.5	15.6
LAL	14.2	16.0	14.6	18.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	13	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-13	18	11.6	16.2	-4.59	19.9	15.1	4.86
Joel Przybilla	29	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-10	12	17.7	14.6	3.07	15.3	16.0	-0.74
Matt Carroll	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-9	10	16.4	15.3	1.17	15.4	15.9	-0.42
Shaun Livingston	40	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.27	6	-14	20	15.6	15.5	0.04	17.4	14.6	2.79
DJ White	35	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-11	14	15.6	15.5	0.03	16.2	15.4	0.83
Dominic McGuire	44	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.30	6	-14	20	14.7	16.4	-1.72	15.8	15.7	0.11
Gerald Henderson	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	2	-12	15.8	15.2	0.52	14.9	17.0	-2.05
Boris Diaw	57	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	3	-14	15.5	15.6	-0.03	15.4	16.2	-0.83
Kwame Brown	50	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	7	-22	15.4	15.8	-0.43	14.9	16.6	-1.70
Stephen Jackson	48	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	8	-24	16.4	14.7	1.72	15.8	15.7	0.16
D.J. Augustin	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	3	-14	15.1	16.8	-1.75	15.5	16.4	-0.88

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	74	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.28	7	1	6	16.4	13.2	3.21	15.8	14.9	0.90
Kobe Bryant	60	60	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-6	20	15.0	17.1	-2.11	15.8	15.1	0.66
Metta World Peace	52	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-6	20	15.5	16.1	-0.57	15.7	15.3	0.38
Andrew Bynum	55	56	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	-5	18	15.4	16.2	-0.83	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Steve Blake	59	58	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	4	0	15.5	16.2	-0.67	15.4	15.9	-0.52
Derek Fisher	33	34	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	4	0	16.2	15.5	0.67	15.9	15.4	0.52
Lamar Odom	55	57	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.23	-4	12	-16	15.2	16.5	-1.28	15.4	15.8	-0.44
Luke Walton	32	31	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	12	-16	17.1	15.0	2.11	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Shannon Brown	40	40	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.32	-8	16	-24	16.1	15.5	0.57	15.4	15.6	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1,1	96.4%
BOS 99, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 98, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%