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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 91 Excitement7.5 [339] MVPKevin Martin (HOU): +15.9%
New Orleans Hornets 89 Comeback14.5 [47] LVPChris Paul (NOH): -15.9%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.160.150.030.021577%0.406-0.2413100%0.11
Kyle Lowry0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.130.050.05-0.031464%0.193-0.0600%0.00
Courtney Lee0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.020.00490%0.1100.00250%-0.00
Brad Miller0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02-0.000.020.00638%0.0200.001100%0.01
Charles Hayes0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.09,0.01,0.01-0.050.06-0.00546%0.113-0.10367%0.01
Jordan Hill0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chase Budinger-0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.01844%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Terrence Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00540%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Luis Scola-0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.02-0.011323%-0.092-0.0600%0.00

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.010.00887%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.02-0.021154%0.102-0.06250%-0.02
Willie Green0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.1,0.030.03-0.010.04-0.001143%0.091-0.061100%0.02
Jason Smith00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quincy Pondexter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00445%0.021-0.023100%0.02
David West0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.08-0.120.011469%0.153-0.214100%0.02
Emeka Okafor0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.030.00643%0.032-0.1120%-0.03
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.14-0.140.02-0.150.011254%-0.111-0.0200%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16-0.16-0.10-0.08-0.021223%-0.1600.002100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.827.216.426.52.330.4127.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +21.7%
HOU +19.7%
HOU +23.9%
NOH -15.4%
HOU +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUNOHNBAHOUNOHNBA
this game17.016.715.5107.1103.5105.7
season15.216.2109.5104.6
opponent15.914.9104.4107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU16.517.117.716.817.0
NOH15.514.218.319.216.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Miller29280.81-0.311.110.578-61416.317.4-1.1317.016.50.55
Kyle Lowry78790.70-0.200.890.4010-81816.819.4-2.6216.815.41.34
Courtney Lee41400.61-0.110.720.5811016.517.5-0.9916.317.0-0.73
Kevin Martin74760.56-0.060.630.396-41017.414.52.9517.113.73.35
Jordan Hill11120.460.040.420.0813-112416.217.1-0.9717.216.60.68
Patrick Patterson12130.010.49-0.48-0.0520216.917.0-0.1217.716.51.21
Terrence Williams1413-0.060.56-0.620.03-35-816.917.0-0.1115.216.9-1.69
Charles Hayes7373-0.110.61-0.730.33-1517-3217.613.64.0116.418.1-1.67
Luis Scola4546-0.160.66-0.82-0.04-46-1016.817.2-0.4316.417.0-0.58
Chase Budinger4850-0.310.81-1.12-0.07-810-1817.216.70.5216.616.8-0.20

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quincy Pondexter9100.13-0.630.76-0.046-81414.216.9-2.7318.016.91.11
David West72710.07-0.570.64-0.3715-173216.616.8-0.1517.813.04.82
Chris Paul7170-0.00-0.500.49-0.3010-122216.616.7-0.0917.614.33.27
Jason Smith89-0.07-0.430.360.02-31-413.717.0-3.2113.317.5-4.13
Trevor Ariza6867-0.17-0.330.16-0.294-61016.517.4-0.9216.917.3-0.39
Jarrett Jack3836-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-64-1016.916.50.3716.317.5-1.20
Marco Belinelli2727-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.15-53-816.716.70.0117.117.00.07
Carl Landry3835-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-119-2016.616.7-0.1516.117.7-1.64
Emeka Okafor5455-0.700.20-0.90-0.55-53-817.215.81.4017.216.70.55
Willie Green4545-0.900.40-1.29-0.46-1513-2817.316.01.3116.617.5-0.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.38,0.22,0.23,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 91, WAS 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.22,0.02,091.7%
SEA 84, LAC 780.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.9,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.31,0.36,0.14,0.16,091.5%
POR 98, OKC 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.28,0.24,0.17,091.0%