inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 95 Excitement2.6 [1244] MVPJosh Smith (ATL): +5.5%
Golden State Warriors 79 Comeback1.2 [531] LVPMonta Ellis (GSW): -15.7%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Smith0.050,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.13-0.000.071865%0.061-0.00475%-0.01
Jamal Crawford0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.030.00-0.081045%0.052-0.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01662%0.031-0.001100%0.00
Al Horford0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.11-0.000.101473%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Damien Wilkins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01267%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Hilton Armstrong0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Powell-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.03450%-0.0230.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.030,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.001443%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Teague-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.110.00-0.07930%-0.013-0.042100%0.01
Marvin Williams-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.170.00-0.11729%-0.016-0.0500%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andris Biedrins0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00-0.01250%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lou Amundson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03757%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Acie Law0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.01650%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.05741%0.023-0.053100%0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Reggie Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.021137%-0.0500.002100%0.00
David Lee0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.000.061950%-0.032-0.032100%0.01
Ekpe Udoh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.01542%-0.022-0.05250%-0.01
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.000.03736%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.19-0.01-0.042136%-0.036-0.132100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.430.715.723.42.425.6122.4
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +31.7%
ATL +2.1%
ATL +2.8%
ATL +13.4%
ATL +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLGSWNBAATLGSWNBA
this game17.014.615.5104.486.8105.7
season16.514.8104.0106.6
opponent15.215.5109.0105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.715.116.721.417.0
GSW15.013.715.314.614.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford71700.50-0.000.51-0.4332-164816.020.8-4.8914.813.90.92
Jeff Teague52520.470.030.44-0.2625-93416.218.2-2.0114.215.2-0.99
Joe Johnson57570.350.150.20-0.4126-103615.819.1-3.2315.413.41.97
Josh Smith67660.300.200.10-0.2017-11816.319.0-2.6714.614.7-0.14
Jamal Crawford48460.230.27-0.030.20115-1417.916.01.8715.114.11.04
Damien Wilkins39390.230.27-0.040.41-622-2818.216.22.0113.615.3-1.71
Marvin Williams60640.160.34-0.170.31-521-2617.116.80.2914.215.6-1.44
Josh Powell31300.150.35-0.190.24-319-2219.915.64.3014.214.8-0.67
Kirk Hinrich29290.090.41-0.310.21-420-2418.816.22.6315.814.01.78
Hilton Armstrong12-0.000.50-0.500.09-319-2221.017.04.018.514.8-6.25

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Lin1617-0.00-0.500.50-0.2910-263613.414.9-1.4321.915.95.96
Reggie Williams4141-0.03-0.470.43-0.4514-304413.715.3-1.6118.915.53.45
Lou Amundson3332-0.06-0.440.38-0.236-222814.114.9-0.7817.516.80.72
Acie Law3334-0.08-0.420.33-0.328-243213.215.4-2.2518.915.92.91
Ekpe Udoh3941-0.16-0.340.18-0.346-222813.315.6-2.2419.115.33.76
Andris Biedrins3231-0.23-0.270.040.30-182-2016.513.62.8615.717.7-2.01
Vladimir Radmanovic2726-0.26-0.24-0.030.03-10-6-413.615.0-1.4515.517.6-2.15
Dorell Wright6363-0.31-0.19-0.130.10-14-2-1215.013.91.1016.717.9-1.24
Monta Ellis6161-0.42-0.08-0.340.31-259-3415.313.22.1616.119.0-2.93
David Lee5050-0.47-0.03-0.430.41-3014-4415.313.71.6115.518.9-3.45
Stephen Curry6059-0.47-0.03-0.440.32-2711-3815.213.51.7715.719.5-3.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 127, DAL 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.3%
WAS 93, MIL 770.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%
MIA 101, PHI 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.0%