NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	4.8 [884]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +22.8%
Dallas Mavericks	118		Comeback	1.8 [1047]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -14.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.23	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.07	14	79%	0.23	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	-0.00	10	74%	0.16	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Francisco Elson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	53%	0.07	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.03
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	11	32%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.06	0.04	17	49%	-0.03	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.19	0.05	0.01	9	100%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	15	66%	0.15	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	83%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.04	7	52%	0.08	1	-0.00	9	44%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	9	73%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	8	72%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	83%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	9	59%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	44%	0.00	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.5	28.0	16.4	30.3	1.8	27.0	128.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +50.4%

UTA -9.4%

DAL +3.1%

DAL +8.9%

UTA -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	13.6	15.5	102.1	120.4	105.7
season	15.9	15.7		106.4	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.8	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.4	17.0	14.7	19.4	15.9
DAL	13.3	11.8	14.1	15.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	15.0	15.9	-0.95	15.6	13.5	2.06
Kyrylo Fesenko	10	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-14	9	16.7	15.8	0.88	14.6	13.5	1.12
Francisco Elson	33	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-13	7	15.9	15.9	0.00	14.2	13.3	0.86
Raja Bell	66	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	-9	-1	15.5	16.9	-1.42	13.0	14.8	-1.77
Andrei Kirilenko	56	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	-6	-7	16.1	15.6	0.52	14.6	12.3	2.29
CJ Miles	52	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-8	-3	15.6	16.2	-0.63	13.5	13.8	-0.21
Gordon Hayward	37	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-7	-5	16.8	15.3	1.50	13.6	13.7	-0.11
Paul Millsap	70	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-6	-7	15.6	16.6	-1.00	13.2	14.6	-1.39
Earl Watson	76	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-7	-5	15.9	15.8	0.12	13.4	14.4	-1.03
Al Jefferson	81	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	-5	-9	16.0	15.2	0.86	13.6	13.8	-0.23

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	65	63	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	3	13	13.8	13.3	0.47	16.0	15.7	0.31
Peja Stojakovic	51	50	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	7	5	12.9	14.4	-1.50	14.6	17.3	-2.66
Jason Terry	52	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	3	13	13.1	14.2	-1.08	16.3	15.4	0.97
Tyson Chandler	47	48	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	10	-1	13.5	13.8	-0.29	14.8	17.0	-2.13
Rodrigue Beaubois	49	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	15	-11	13.8	13.5	0.35	15.2	16.5	-1.28
Brendan Haywood	51	49	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.11	10	9	1	13.8	13.5	0.29	17.0	14.8	2.13
Jose Juan Barea	34	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.20	13	6	7	14.4	13.3	1.09	18.3	14.5	3.77
Shawn Marion	39	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	14	-9	13.7	13.6	0.17	16.7	15.3	1.34
Brian Cardinal	21	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	13	-7	13.6	13.7	-0.09	17.3	15.5	1.76
Ian Mahinmi	12	11	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	15	-11	15.4	13.4	2.02	17.1	15.8	1.34
Jason Kidd	34	33	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	12.3	14.3	-2.02	14.4	16.7	-2.34
DeShawn Stevenson	10	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	26	-33	16.7	13.3	3.40	14.6	16.0	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 82, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAC 93, OKC 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
SAS 64, UTA 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%