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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 105 Excitement9.0 [117] MVPJames Harden (OKC): +26.3%
San Antonio Spurs 109 Comeback2.1 [695] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -23.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.15,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.120.14-0.00973%0.2600.004100%0.05
Serge Ibaka0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.120.020.10-0.011050%0.1200.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.030.11-0.080.001959%0.061-0.031385%0.00
Daequan Cook0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.02-0.00743%0.0300.0000%0.00
Nenad Krstic0.030,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.0320%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Eric Maynor-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Green-0.170,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17-0.08-0.070.011544%-0.084-0.092100%0.04
Russell Westbrook-0.230,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23-0.04-0.180.012445%-0.143-0.09887%0.03

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.170.07-0.00990%0.281-0.043100%0.02
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.080.12-0.00967%0.2000.0000%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.07-0.00850%0.0900.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.030.00460%0.0600.002100%0.02
Richard Jefferson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.030.030.15-0.090.035120%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,0.010.01-0.030.050.011453%0.114-0.101080%-0.01
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.050.04-0.021334%0.0100.006100%0.08
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.030.00631%-0.032-0.0610%-0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.01-0.120.011547%-0.111-0.02650%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.434.918.527.32.840.2153.3
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +45.9%
OKC -3.3%
SAS +4.5%
SAS +1.9%
SAS +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game14.414.715.5106.1110.1105.7
season15.015.5108.8109.3
opponent15.215.6103.6105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.215.412.716.814.4
SAS15.014.013.916.014.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Maynor21220.44-0.941.370.208-122017.213.73.5116.614.12.53
Daequan Cook25260.36-0.861.220.128-122016.013.92.1116.714.02.69
Nenad Krstic35340.07-0.570.64-0.054-81213.614.9-1.3214.115.0-0.93
Nick Collison1111-0.27-0.23-0.030.09-128-2016.014.21.7715.314.60.68
Serge Ibaka5657-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.373-71014.614.20.4215.014.20.83
Thabo Sefolosha5453-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.11-95-1413.615.4-1.7913.615.9-2.37
Kevin Durant8687-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.42-2-2014.414.8-0.4014.615.5-0.95
Jeff Green7372-0.510.01-0.52-0.39-40-414.115.3-1.1514.415.3-0.87
James Harden5656-0.520.02-0.54-0.40-40-415.013.71.3715.214.01.14
Russell Westbrook7877-0.940.44-1.37-0.58-128-2013.717.2-3.5114.116.6-2.53

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Matt Bonner47500.63-0.130.750.427-31014.914.40.5114.714.20.48
George Hill59590.57-0.070.630.2710-61614.115.5-1.4414.514.30.17
Tim Duncan69700.380.120.270.2740414.315.6-1.2914.614.00.65
Tony Parker76770.370.130.240.3413-214.315.9-1.5714.115.5-1.44
Antonio McDyess30290.370.130.230.0112-82014.714.70.0515.214.11.16
Richard Jefferson56570.300.200.100.2422015.014.30.7315.413.12.31
Gary Neal54520.090.41-0.31-0.086-2815.114.20.8615.213.51.74
Manu Ginobili69680.020.48-0.460.32-1014-2415.013.81.2413.716.0-2.34
DeJuan Blair3533-0.230.73-0.950.13-1216-2815.014.50.4712.115.6-3.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.72,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.71,0.55,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 87, MIA 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.6,0.44,0.61,0.45,0.73,190.8%
HOU 100, LAL 1010.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.69,0.63,0.25,0.27,190.5%
CHA 92, PHI 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.31,0.46,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.67,0.73,189.8%