NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	108		Excitement	7.2 [396]		MVP	Toney Douglas (NYK): +28.8%
New York Knicks	114		Comeback	1.3 [1021]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): -9.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	-0.00	9	65%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
John Salmons	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.03	14	66%	0.16	3	-0.08	13	85%	0.03
Keyon Dooling	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.04	-0.00	-0.03	10	62%	0.13	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.09	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.04	0.06	14	47%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Andrew Bogut	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	12	47%	0.01	3	-0.11	6	67%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.12	-0.00	12	96%	0.39	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.04	0.04	12	58%	0.14	2	-0.06	12	100%	0.07
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	13	58%	0.16	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.06
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	25	47%	0.05	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	58%	0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.7	34.2	22.8	25.3	2.4	36.1	150.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.2%

NYK +11.3%

NYK +7.3%

MIL -1.2%

MIL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	12.9	15.5	108.0	115.2	105.7
season	16.2	14.3		100.1	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		108.4	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.4	18.3	17.0	12.0	16.0
NYK	12.1	13.0	12.8	13.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Brockman	12	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-5	4	15.2	16.1	-0.95	11.8	13.1	-1.34
Ersan Ilyasova	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-3	0	16.8	15.7	1.07	13.3	12.8	0.59
Corey Maggette	23	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-4	2	15.8	16.1	-0.23	15.2	12.2	3.06
Brandon Jennings	75	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-6	6	16.5	14.4	2.13	12.2	14.8	-2.60
Keyon Dooling	58	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.30	1	-7	8	14.3	18.3	-3.94	13.0	12.8	0.22
Luc Mbah a Moute	52	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	2	-10	17.5	14.4	3.04	12.2	13.7	-1.43
John Salmons	84	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-1	-4	16.6	12.9	3.72	12.5	15.3	-2.75
Andrew Bogut	86	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-4	2	15.9	16.5	-0.58	13.3	11.2	2.00
Carlos Delfino	81	79	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.37	-10	4	-14	15.1	19.7	-4.61	13.4	11.1	2.23

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toney Douglas	62	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-2	10	12.7	13.3	-0.63	15.5	16.8	-1.27
Chauncey Billups	68	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	-1	8	11.8	15.3	-3.48	16.3	15.2	1.17
Amar'e Stoudemire	69	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	-2	10	12.7	13.5	-0.82	17.1	13.5	3.57
Carmelo Anthony	81	83	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	5	-4	13.2	11.7	1.54	15.6	17.9	-2.34
Landry Fields	88	89	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	6	-6	13.3	9.8	3.50	15.6	19.0	-3.37
Henry Walker	33	32	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	3	0	13.8	12.5	1.33	16.4	15.8	0.55
Shawne Williams	50	49	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	5	-4	13.6	12.3	1.31	16.9	15.1	1.76
Ronny Turiaf	44	44	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	4	-2	12.6	13.2	-0.53	14.7	17.1	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.91,0.9,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 72, NJN 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	92.9%
PHI 72, HOU 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	92.7%
DET 91, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.92,1	92.7%