NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	7.9 [250]		MVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): +31.6%
Orlando Magic	105		Comeback	7.3 [26]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (ORL): -15.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine Taylor	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.08	0.01	12	81%	0.26	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12	0.02	0.11	0.02	12	55%	0.18	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.03
Beno Udrih	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.07	0.00	13	62%	0.18	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	7	87%	0.17	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	13	50%	0.17	3	-0.10	8	62%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	7	57%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	45%	-0.00	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.14	0.12	-0.05	17	67%	0.40	3	-0.09	12	92%	0.08
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.03	0.04	10	90%	0.15	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	60%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	13	54%	0.05	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.03
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	10	39%	-0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	32.5	15.8	24.4	2.7	38.8	139.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +58.6%

ORL -2.7%

ORL -2.2%

ORL -4.0%

SAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ORL	NBA	SAC	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.6	15.5	108.8	101.9	105.7
season	14.9	15.2		102.1	106.3
opponent	16.2	14.9		101.1	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	16.3	12.4	14.7	14.5
ORL	13.0	11.0	14.8	15.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	56	57	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.30	17	-11	28	13.6	15.6	-1.98	14.9	12.0	2.82
Luther Head	50	51	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-4	14	14.4	14.6	-0.12	14.3	13.0	1.29
Jason Thompson	73	72	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.27	12	-6	18	15.0	13.3	1.66	14.2	12.3	1.92
Beno Udrih	87	88	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	1	4	15.0	11.9	3.09	13.2	16.1	-2.96
Omri Casspi	79	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-2	10	15.0	12.8	2.16	13.8	13.0	0.78
Jermaine Taylor	62	62	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.09	3	3	0	13.6	15.8	-2.22	13.5	13.8	-0.34
Donte Greene	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	10	-14	14.8	14.4	0.32	9.9	14.3	-4.45
Pooh Jeter	15	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	5	-4	11.9	15.0	-3.09	16.1	13.2	2.96
Darnell Jackson	19	20	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.11	-12	18	-30	15.0	14.4	0.61	10.2	14.4	-4.16
DeMarcus Cousins	52	53	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.05	-10	16	-26	14.9	14.1	0.78	13.2	14.0	-0.85

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gilbert Arenas	46	44	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-9	12	13.2	13.9	-0.77	16.0	13.3	2.72
Jason Richardson	54	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	0	-6	13.4	13.8	-0.45	13.4	15.8	-2.39
Chris Duhon	2	2	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-4	2	0.0	13.9	-13.87	10.0	14.6	-4.59
Brandon Bass	50	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.19	-10	4	-14	13.9	13.3	0.62	14.3	14.7	-0.31
Ryan Anderson	61	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-7	8	13.7	13.4	0.33	15.4	13.3	2.03
Jameer Nelson	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	2	-10	14.5	12.1	2.37	13.6	15.9	-2.35
Dwight Howard	93	93	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-5	4	13.6	13.3	0.33	14.1	18.2	-4.08
Hedo Turkoglu	80	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.38	-1	-5	4	13.4	14.4	-1.02	14.9	12.9	2.03
JJ Redick	66	64	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.48	-6	0	-6	13.5	13.8	-0.37	14.7	14.1	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.4,0.55,0.37,0.23,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, SEA 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.33,0.16,0	90.8%
CLE 103, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.45,0.6,0.47,0.29,0.1,0.02,0	90.8%
BOS 100, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.33,0.28,0	90.8%