NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	113		Excitement	3.9 [1089]		MVP	Tyler Hansbrough (IND): +6.9%
Washington Wizards	96		Comeback	1.7 [684]		LVP	Nick Young (WAS): -9.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.08	2	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	57%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	48%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.00
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Posey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	2	29%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Danny Granger	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	17	51%	0.05	4	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Paul George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	48%	-0.01	3	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	16	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	0.05	16	60%	0.03	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	-0.08	15	41%	-0.01	6	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	0.04	15	43%	-0.07	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	30.6	16.3	29.5	2.3	31.6	141.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.8%

IND +10.2%

IND +11.2%

IND +5.9%

WAS -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	13.2	13.3	15.5	103.7	88.1	105.7
season	14.7	15.1		103.1	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.4		108.7	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	11.9	12.8	12.2	16.1	13.2
WAS	13.9	13.9	13.0	12.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	54	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	3	11	12.2	14.1	-1.87	12.9	13.6	-0.63
Danny Granger	70	71	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.14	17	0	17	12.5	14.4	-1.98	13.6	12.6	1.04
Roy Hibbert	68	69	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	6	5	12.7	13.9	-1.18	13.4	13.1	0.29
Darren Collison	57	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	6	5	12.2	14.2	-2.07	12.8	13.7	-0.91
James Posey	14	13	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	6	5	13.7	13.1	0.63	14.6	13.1	1.54
A.J. Price	52	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.06	6	11	-5	14.2	12.2	2.07	13.7	12.8	0.91
Jeff Foster	22	20	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	7	3	12.0	13.4	-1.40	14.2	13.0	1.22
Dahntay Jones	27	25	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.12	1	16	-15	13.3	13.1	0.13	13.8	13.1	0.76
Paul George	55	54	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	14	-11	14.1	12.2	1.87	13.6	12.9	0.63
Tyler Hansbrough	49	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	21	-25	13.6	12.8	0.70	13.4	13.2	0.22
Josh McRoberts	65	65	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	11	-5	13.6	12.5	1.08	12.5	14.4	-1.93
Brandon Rush	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	17.1	12.7	4.40	10.2	13.7	-3.52

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	33	33	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.04	7	-24	31	12.7	13.5	-0.76	13.7	12.9	0.72
Hilton Armstrong	3	2	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-21	25	7.7	13.4	-5.75	15.0	13.1	1.87
Al Thornton	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-24	31	13.8	13.1	0.77	13.0	13.2	-0.22
Rashard Lewis	45	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-14	11	13.5	13.1	0.36	12.5	13.7	-1.11
Yi Jianlian	22	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.13	-6	-11	5	13.0	13.3	-0.32	12.2	13.4	-1.20
Cartier Martin	28	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-11	5	12.3	13.6	-1.31	15.2	12.5	2.61
Trevor Booker	39	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-4	-9	12.7	13.6	-0.88	13.5	13.0	0.57
Andray Blatche	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-13	9	13.4	13.0	0.35	13.0	13.5	-0.57
Josh Howard	65	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-4	-9	13.9	12.4	1.50	13.2	13.2	0.01
Nick Young	74	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-10	3	13.1	13.7	-0.63	13.3	12.9	0.41
John Wall	88	89	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.24	-29	12	-41	13.2	13.7	-0.51	12.9	14.5	-1.70
JaVale McGee	51	51	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.05	-22	5	-27	14.0	12.6	1.47	13.2	13.1	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 120, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
CLE 127, DAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
LAC 88, UTA 72	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%