NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	113		Excitement	4.1 [1041]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +16.4%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	1.7 [762]		LVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): -12.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.16	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.01	17	79%	0.25	5	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	16	59%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shannon Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.00	0.05	5	62%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Caracter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	10	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	60%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	9	20%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	12	74%	0.12	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	6	43%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.04	10	59%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	20	51%	0.04	6	-0.12	7	86%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	15	39%	-0.03	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.0	32.7	18.7	28.4	3.5	27.4	139.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.6%

NYK -6.7%

LAL +5.5%

LAL +12.1%

NYK -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	12.9	15.5	113.0	96.0	105.7
season	15.9	14.3		108.8	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		108.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.3	12.8	16.2	16.5	15.8
NYK	11.7	13.9	12.1	14.1	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	56	57	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.10	20	-3	23	16.0	15.6	0.38	13.2	12.6	0.65
Shannon Brown	46	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	3	11	16.0	15.7	0.36	13.4	12.6	0.78
Pau Gasol	69	69	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	8	1	15.7	16.3	-0.64	12.7	13.6	-0.91
Metta World Peace	56	55	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	9	-1	15.6	16.1	-0.47	12.6	13.4	-0.86
Steve Blake	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	5	7	16.2	15.5	0.72	13.4	12.6	0.78
Luke Walton	38	37	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	9	-1	15.3	16.2	-0.95	14.2	12.2	2.05
Derek Fisher	53	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	12	-7	15.5	16.2	-0.72	12.6	13.4	-0.78
Andrew Bynum	63	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	10	-3	16.0	15.7	0.28	13.3	12.3	0.98
Kobe Bryant	60	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	13	-9	16.3	15.2	1.04	12.2	14.1	-1.93
Joe Smith	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	15.7	15.9	-0.20	11.3	13.1	-1.72
Derrick Caracter	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	15.7	15.9	-0.20	11.3	13.1	-1.72

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Randolph	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	12.3	13.0	-0.72	16.3	15.8	0.50
Timofey Mozgov	59	60	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-19	21	13.6	12.0	1.53	16.1	15.5	0.54
Shawne Williams	30	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-8	-1	12.2	13.3	-1.02	16.1	15.7	0.36
Toney Douglas	47	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-9	1	12.9	13.0	-0.07	16.9	14.9	1.97
Landry Fields	65	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	0	-17	13.2	12.4	0.80	15.7	16.1	-0.32
Amar'e Stoudemire	66	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-4	-9	13.2	12.5	0.73	15.3	16.9	-1.58
Raymond Felton	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-3	-11	12.3	14.4	-2.11	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Wilson Chandler	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	1	-19	13.1	12.5	0.64	16.3	14.9	1.37
Danilo Gallinari	82	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	-6	-5	12.8	13.6	-0.81	15.1	19.2	-4.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, LAL 80	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
DET 94, PHI 76	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
SEA 104, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%