NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	5.5 [736]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): +38.3%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.0 [1120]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): -14.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14	0.16	0.06	0.08	21	68%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	10	73%	0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Patrick Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,-0.03	0.09	-0.07	0.05	15	64%	0.04	3	-0.07	12	92%	0.04
Shane Battier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	56%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	10	39%	-0.06	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	10	30%	-0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.38	0.38	0.14	0.26	0.02	10	83%	0.39	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.15	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	61%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.05	7	79%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	16	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	12	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	28.3	16.8	26.4	2.5	35.5	135.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.5%

DAL +16.1%

HOU -16.6%

DAL +12.0%

DAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.0	15.5	109.3	113.3	105.7
season	15.2	15.7		109.5	108.5
opponent	15.7	14.9		103.8	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.5	13.3	16.1	13.4	14.5
DAL	13.3	15.5	16.6	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	58	60	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.40	16	-21	37	13.1	16.8	-3.72	15.8	13.7	2.09
Jordan Hill	22	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-5	5	15.0	14.4	0.59	14.4	15.1	-0.74
Kyle Lowry	68	71	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.34	8	-13	21	13.7	16.5	-2.81	15.4	14.0	1.32
Shane Battier	66	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.39	8	-13	21	13.8	16.1	-2.23	15.8	13.1	2.72
Kevin Martin	71	71	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.36	6	-11	17	13.6	17.2	-3.56	15.7	13.2	2.44
Courtney Lee	20	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	4	-13	16.9	13.9	2.96	12.8	15.5	-2.73
Chase Budinger	31	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.03	-13	8	-21	16.1	13.8	2.23	13.1	15.8	-2.72
Charles Hayes	63	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	4	-13	15.3	13.1	2.20	15.6	13.8	1.86
Patrick Patterson	33	33	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.10	-22	17	-39	16.9	13.3	3.54	13.5	15.7	-2.18
Aaron Brooks	53	53	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	5	-15	15.1	13.9	1.21	13.8	16.4	-2.53

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	66	67	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-4	13	16.0	12.9	3.05	15.5	12.5	3.01
Jose Juan Barea	51	50	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	5	-5	14.3	15.7	-1.37	14.1	15.0	-0.84
Shawn Marion	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	-4	13	13.7	16.9	-3.23	15.2	13.6	1.60
Ian Mahinmi	18	17	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	-2	9	15.6	14.8	0.76	16.2	14.2	2.05
Jason Terry	54	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	6	-7	14.8	15.2	-0.43	14.7	14.4	0.33
Jason Kidd	69	66	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	6	-7	14.9	15.3	-0.46	13.7	16.5	-2.80
DeShawn Stevenson	41	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	-2	9	15.6	14.6	0.98	14.8	14.4	0.45
Tyson Chandler	67	67	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	7	-9	15.0	15.1	-0.11	14.0	15.8	-1.77
Brendan Haywood	16	16	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	6	-7	14.5	15.1	-0.59	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Sasha Pavlovic	45	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	1	3	15.8	14.3	1.42	14.6	14.5	0.06
Brian Cardinal	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	11	-17	16.0	14.9	1.06	8.6	14.9	-6.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.9,0.82,0.67,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 86, OKC 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.92,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.9%
NOP 101, MIA 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.91,1	92.5%
NJN 86, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.94,1,1	92.3%