NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	94		Excitement	5.9 [656]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): +13.5%
Sacramento Kings	89		Comeback	1.2 [552]		LVP	Beno Udrih (SAC): -20.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	15	58%	0.16	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Eduardo Najera	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.01	0.01	0.01	12	56%	0.11	4	-0.11	10	70%	0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	14	53%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.05	12	61%	0.07	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	12	48%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	0.05	18	45%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.06	-0.01	13	23%	-0.12	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.8	30.1	15.8	29.1	2.5	35.6	146.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +58.2%

SAC -1.9%

SAC -3.6%

SAC -5.4%

CHA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SAC	NBA	CHA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	15.5	100.0	93.7	105.7
season	16.2	14.9		102.3	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.5		107.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.3	15.6	15.2	14.1	15.0
SAC	14.8	16.4	14.8	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	82	82	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-2	9	15.2	13.9	1.25	15.3	16.3	-0.98
Kwame Brown	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	2	1	15.1	14.8	0.34	15.4	15.7	-0.26
D.J. Augustin	70	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	2	1	14.6	16.2	-1.61	15.7	14.6	1.18
Stephen Jackson	76	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	4	-3	14.6	16.7	-2.12	15.6	14.8	0.78
Boris Diaw	45	47	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	2	1	14.5	15.5	-1.00	16.8	14.1	2.66
Dominic McGuire	15	14	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	0	5	13.6	15.3	-1.68	15.2	15.5	-0.29
Gerald Henderson	30	30	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	3	-1	15.6	14.7	0.87	15.5	15.5	0.01
Shaun Livingston	25	24	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	3	-1	16.3	14.6	1.73	14.0	16.0	-2.01
Nazr Mohammed	26	27	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	5	-5	16.1	14.6	1.47	16.4	15.1	1.27
Eduardo Najera	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	6	-7	15.9	14.6	1.31	14.0	16.2	-2.19
Matt Carroll	2	2	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	5	-5	5.5	15.2	-9.72	6.0	15.7	-9.67

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pooh Jeter	25	25	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.19	7	-12	19	13.7	16.1	-2.37	13.8	15.5	-1.70
Donte Greene	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-5	5	14.0	16.3	-2.32	14.7	15.2	-0.53
Darnell Jackson	9	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-5	5	17.7	15.2	2.43	14.4	15.1	-0.69
DeMarcus Cousins	41	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-6	7	15.4	15.5	-0.13	16.0	14.3	1.72
Carl Landry	55	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-8	11	16.3	14.3	1.97	15.5	14.3	1.13
Samuel Dalembert	43	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	2	-9	16.4	14.7	1.75	14.0	15.8	-1.74
Omri Casspi	60	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-1	-3	14.9	16.3	-1.39	14.6	15.7	-1.12
Jason Thompson	59	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	2	-9	15.6	15.2	0.34	15.8	13.9	1.89
Beno Udrih	69	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	4	-13	15.7	14.7	1.01	15.1	14.7	0.40
Tyreke Evans	80	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.25	-9	4	-13	15.4	15.8	-0.40	15.0	15.1	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 113, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
ORL 98, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.21,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0	94.2%
DAL 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	93.6%