NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	6.9 [451]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +12.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	81		Comeback	1.6 [320]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -26.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	11	55%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	64%	0.15	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Tyreke Evans	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	16	68%	0.22	6	-0.19	6	100%	0.04
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Pooh Jeter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	2	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Carl Landry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.02	15	47%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.01	12	62%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.06	-0.02	20	49%	0.04	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	15	56%	0.06	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.08	-0.03	10	10%	-0.17	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.16	-0.11	-0.01	14	30%	-0.15	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	29.2	14.8	26.8	1.8	31.0	131.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.9%

SAC +14.6%

POR -2.3%

SAC +3.1%

SAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	17.4	15.5	110.3	91.0	105.7
season	14.9	16.5		102.1	106.7
opponent	15.7	14.9		105.6	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	16.5	13.7	16.1	15.3
POR	19.4	16.3	18.2	15.9	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	62	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-3	21	15.9	13.6	2.26	15.9	20.7	-4.82
Donte Greene	32	31	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	5	5	15.6	15.1	0.49	16.6	17.9	-1.33
Pooh Jeter	16	19	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	4	7	14.4	15.4	-1.00	17.7	17.4	0.37
Tyreke Evans	75	78	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	4	7	15.4	14.3	1.07	17.4	17.5	-0.01
Beno Udrih	77	76	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	9	-3	15.3	14.7	0.62	17.3	18.2	-0.91
Omri Casspi	61	63	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	8	-1	15.0	15.8	-0.74	18.0	16.2	1.72
Samuel Dalembert	52	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	11	-7	16.2	13.8	2.48	15.7	19.8	-4.18
DeMarcus Cousins	25	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.00	6	9	-3	13.8	15.8	-2.04	21.2	15.7	5.55
Jason Thompson	35	38	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	13	-11	13.7	16.3	-2.67	19.5	15.9	3.53

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	46	42	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-17	19	18.8	16.0	2.71	14.7	15.8	-1.09
Sean Marks	3	2	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-13	11	14.3	17.6	-3.22	5.0	15.5	-10.49
Andre Miller	61	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-12	9	17.5	17.3	0.24	15.6	14.4	1.23
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-8	1	17.4	17.5	-0.10	15.7	12.4	3.31
Nicolas Batum	77	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-5	-5	17.4	17.5	-0.06	15.1	16.2	-1.16
Wesley Matthews	73	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-8	1	17.2	18.7	-1.51	15.7	12.9	2.77
Patty Mills	21	19	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-3	-9	18.1	17.2	0.91	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Rudy Fernandez	47	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.02	-13	-2	-11	16.9	18.0	-1.09	14.4	16.3	-1.89
Dante Cunningham	41	41	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.00	-23	8	-31	16.9	18.0	-1.10	15.7	14.8	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.02,0.02,0.01,0	93.0%
SAS 93, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0	93.0%
MIN 113, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.8%