NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	5.3 [790]		MVP	Channing Frye (PHX): +28.1%
Washington Wizards	91		Comeback	2.9 [342]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -21.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.21	0.07	-0.01	15	83%	0.29	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	7	68%	0.13	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	58%	0.07	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Garret Siler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	12	43%	-0.00	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	0.04	13	63%	0.06	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	17	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	20	60%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	15	47%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	17	41%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.04	0.03	13	35%	-0.09	5	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	32.3	16.4	23.5	2.5	24.5	124.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +39.7%

PHX +9.5%

WAS -3.7%

PHX +1.2%

PHX +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	13.2	14.8	15.5	105.8	88.3	105.7
season	14.5	15.1		108.0	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.7		108.7	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	10.8	11.2	14.6	17.2	13.2
WAS	12.0	16.5	14.8	17.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	63	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.07	19	-1	20	13.6	12.5	1.03	15.2	14.2	0.93
Vince Carter	82	81	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.07	18	0	18	12.9	14.1	-1.24	14.8	15.0	-0.25
Channing Frye	84	86	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	8	2	13.7	10.9	2.77	14.9	14.5	0.40
Jared Dudley	47	47	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.04	13	5	8	13.4	13.0	0.38	14.1	15.4	-1.21
Goran Dragic	33	32	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.08	12	6	6	14.5	12.5	1.91	15.1	14.7	0.37
Steve Nash	70	71	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	12	-6	12.5	14.5	-1.91	14.7	15.1	-0.37
Grant Hill	77	78	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	13	-8	13.3	12.7	0.57	15.3	13.4	1.86
Hakim Warrick	22	22	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.18	11	7	4	12.0	13.5	-1.41	14.5	14.9	-0.33
Robin Lopez	34	34	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	22	-26	11.9	13.8	-1.94	14.2	15.1	-0.90
Garret Siler	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	13.3	13.1	0.18	13.5	14.8	-1.33

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	27	25	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-19	20	13.9	15.1	-1.19	14.3	12.8	1.54
Cartier Martin	5	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-18	18	12.4	14.9	-2.53	12.7	13.2	-0.42
Yi Jianlian	9	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-16	14	20.6	14.3	6.30	13.5	13.1	0.33
Andray Blatche	75	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-16	14	15.2	13.7	1.55	12.9	13.7	-0.82
JaVale McGee	52	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-15	12	13.9	15.7	-1.86	11.2	15.0	-3.76
Al Thornton	44	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.20	-14	-4	-10	15.3	14.4	0.93	13.7	12.7	1.01
Trevor Booker	16	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-10	2	11.6	15.4	-3.77	16.1	12.6	3.48
Kevin Seraphin	31	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-11	4	14.0	15.2	-1.20	14.4	12.6	1.81
Rashard Lewis	82	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.04	-18	0	-18	15.0	14.0	1.07	13.1	13.3	-0.24
Nick Young	89	90	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.01	-17	-1	-16	15.2	12.4	2.83	13.0	14.4	-1.41
John Wall	85	87	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.05	-20	2	-22	14.8	14.7	0.10	13.0	13.9	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 103, ORL 89	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
DEN 117, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
SAC 107, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.35,0.22,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%