NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	106		Excitement	7.2 [399]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +18.8%
Detroit Pistons	110		Comeback	5.3 [416]		LVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): -19.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.06	0.02	13	69%	0.10	2	-0.09	6	33%	-0.06
Pooh Jeter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	8	56%	0.07	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.02	23	52%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Landry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	53%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.07
Omri Casspi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	58%	0.06	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.03
Francisco Garcia	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.09	-0.00	10	25%	-0.13	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.07	0.02	13	72%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.01	11	63%	0.16	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.00	9	67%	0.15	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	13	59%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.04
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.01	14	53%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.3	27.5	17.7	27.2	2.8	36.1	140.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +30.0%

DET +23.9%

SAC -40.0%

DET +29.6%

DET +6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DET	NBA	SAC	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	16.4	15.5	116.5	120.9	105.7
season	14.9	16.7		102.1	106.4
opponent	15.2	14.9		110.1	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.6	13.2	17.5	15.9	15.2
DET	16.7	16.8	16.8	15.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	68	68	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-6	8	15.0	15.9	-0.93	16.4	16.5	-0.07
DeMarcus Cousins	39	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.18	2	-6	8	14.6	15.7	-1.01	15.4	17.2	-1.83
Pooh Jeter	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-2	0	14.7	15.4	-0.73	15.2	17.0	-1.75
Omri Casspi	42	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-5	6	14.0	16.3	-2.31	16.6	16.3	0.26
Tyreke Evans	79	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-4	4	14.8	17.7	-2.91	17.1	11.9	5.20
Samuel Dalembert	38	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.22	-6	2	-8	16.0	14.6	1.38	17.3	15.7	1.60
Carl Landry	29	27	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	5	-14	16.5	14.6	1.90	17.2	16.1	1.08
Francisco Garcia	62	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.38	-2	-2	0	15.7	14.1	1.64	16.0	17.3	-1.29
Beno Udrih	70	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	2	-8	15.7	13.6	2.14	16.2	17.2	-0.99

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	69	70	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-6	16	16.4	16.6	-0.27	15.6	14.0	1.52
Rodney Stuckey	54	53	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-6	16	16.6	16.1	0.54	15.9	14.3	1.60
Greg Monroe	71	70	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-4	12	16.6	15.7	0.87	15.5	14.1	1.40
Charlie Villanueva	66	64	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.43	-1	5	-6	16.9	15.1	1.86	15.0	15.8	-0.79
Ben Gordon	58	59	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	-3	10	16.3	16.6	-0.23	15.4	14.8	0.63
Will Bynum	51	51	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.35	-4	8	-12	16.1	16.9	-0.80	14.5	16.1	-1.57
Chris Wilcox	43	45	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	2	0	15.3	17.4	-2.09	15.0	15.5	-0.52
Tracy McGrady	19	19	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	9	-14	17.0	16.3	0.72	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Austin Daye	24	24	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	11	-18	16.6	16.4	0.27	14.4	15.5	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.73,0.75,0.93,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 98, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.98,0.97,1	94.1%
PHI 88, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.68,0.75,0.89,0.96,0.92,1	92.7%
IND 96, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.84,1	91.9%