NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	120		Excitement	5.0 [844]		MVP	Julian Wright (TOR): +16.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	3.7 [251]		LVP	Mo Williams (CLE): -13.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Wright	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.01	9	79%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.07	-0.03	20	60%	0.23	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.03	-0.03	17	56%	0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	3	89%	0.12	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.01	0.06	10	95%	0.15	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.01	0.06	9	63%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Solomon Alabi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	15	42%	-0.03	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.19	0.01	0.04	21	65%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.10	3	-0.03	12	100%	0.04
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	4	69%	0.08	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	-0.01	0.07	10	76%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Manny Harris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.7	34.0	15.8	25.2	1.6	31.5	135.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +44.7%

CLE -7.6%

TOR +8.1%

TOR +3.2%

TOR +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	16.2	14.9	15.5	130.4	112.9	105.7
season	15.1	15.1		104.7	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		110.2	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.0	13.8	16.0	19.7	16.2
CLE	11.3	16.2	17.5	15.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	58	58	0.76	-0.26	1.02	-0.18	32	-17	49	16.2	16.2	-0.03	16.1	12.9	3.18
Andrea Bargnani	76	75	0.73	-0.23	0.95	-0.12	29	-14	43	15.8	18.0	-2.16	15.5	12.4	3.08
Jose Calderon	74	73	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	2	11	16.4	15.7	0.68	15.1	14.3	0.73
Leandro Barbosa	53	53	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.20	21	-6	27	15.9	16.7	-0.82	14.9	14.9	0.04
Ed Davis	45	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	14	-13	14.8	17.6	-2.82	16.0	13.8	2.22
Amir Johnson	50	51	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	10	-5	16.5	15.9	0.66	14.2	15.8	-1.66
Solomon Alabi	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	30.0	15.6	14.41	8.0	15.2	-7.24
Linas Kleiza	41	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	17	-19	15.4	16.9	-1.45	14.1	15.6	-1.56
Joey Dorsey	7	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.10	-6	21	-27	20.9	15.8	5.02	12.0	15.2	-3.16
DeMar DeRozan	52	55	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.38	-16	31	-47	16.8	15.4	1.45	13.9	16.4	-2.49

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gibson	53	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.08	1	-16	17	13.9	16.3	-2.46	15.3	17.6	-2.39
Ryan Hollins	19	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-15	15	16.5	14.5	2.01	19.8	15.3	4.50
Alonzo Gee	49	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-15	15	14.3	15.6	-1.26	17.5	14.8	2.77
Manny Harris	10	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-15	15	15.6	14.8	0.76	23.1	15.5	7.64
Leon Powe	14	14	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.17	-13	-2	-11	16.9	14.6	2.36	14.0	16.6	-2.62
Antawn Jamison	75	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-9	3	14.9	14.9	-0.02	15.9	17.6	-1.66
Mo Williams	69	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-1	-13	15.2	14.1	1.13	15.7	17.7	-2.07
Anderson Varejao	72	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-3	-9	14.6	15.9	-1.27	15.4	19.0	-3.61
Ramon Sessions	50	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	0	-15	15.2	14.6	0.64	16.9	15.5	1.42
Christian Eyenga	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	1	-17	15.0	14.8	0.27	15.8	16.8	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 133, CLE 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
UTA 87, PHX 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
HOU 95, CHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.18,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%