NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	5.4 [768]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +15.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	2.7 [520]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (LAC): -8.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.02	0.04	22	63%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Gordon Hayward	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	12	65%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	52%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	55%	0.06	5	-0.08	7	71%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	13	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.02	5	87%	0.11	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	72%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.11	-0.04	0.07	20	62%	0.06	2	-0.07	8	37%	-0.06
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	20	43%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.0	28.1	16.4	27.5	1.6	30.2	134.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +11.7%

UTA +9.1%

UTA +19.7%

UTA +7.9%

UTA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	18.0	14.3	15.5	115.7	106.7	105.7
season	15.9	15.4		106.4	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		107.2	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.5	17.4	16.2	19.0	18.0
LAC	12.6	16.1	15.1	13.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	61	60	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.21	18	-10	28	16.8	20.7	-3.93	15.0	12.9	2.14
Gordon Hayward	81	82	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	1	6	18.1	16.7	1.40	14.1	16.6	-2.43
Deron Williams	69	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	6	-4	18.2	17.5	0.61	14.1	15.2	-1.04
Ronnie Price	22	23	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-2	12	17.9	18.1	-0.21	14.6	14.2	0.37
Mehmet Okur	29	31	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	0	8	18.2	17.9	0.32	14.3	14.4	-0.12
Raja Bell	48	46	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	4	0	17.7	18.4	-0.64	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Al Jefferson	73	72	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	9	-10	18.4	16.5	1.86	14.0	15.6	-1.55
Earl Watson	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	8	-8	18.2	17.9	0.37	15.4	13.5	1.86
Kyrylo Fesenko	13	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	6	-4	17.5	18.1	-0.57	14.9	14.2	0.67
Jeremy Evans	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	14	-20	21.6	17.7	3.85	14.1	14.4	-0.21
Francisco Elson	3	3	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	12	-16	23.3	17.8	5.50	11.7	14.4	-2.76

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	14	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-1	-6	15.0	14.2	0.79	16.3	18.4	-2.11
Ryan Gomes	33	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-5	2	14.8	14.0	0.81	17.9	18.1	-0.18
Baron Davis	54	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-12	16	14.3	14.3	-0.01	18.6	17.1	1.59
Eric Bledsoe	31	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	1	-10	14.5	14.3	0.18	17.0	18.5	-1.54
Ike Diogu	25	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	4	-16	15.8	13.8	1.98	17.2	18.3	-1.17
Blake Griffin	79	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.27	-2	-6	4	14.2	15.6	-1.42	17.9	18.7	-0.72
Al-Farouq Aminu	56	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	14.0	14.8	-0.81	18.1	17.9	0.18
DeAndre Jordan	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-6	4	14.0	15.9	-1.84	18.4	16.3	2.11
Eric Gordon	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-4	0	14.2	15.6	-1.42	18.3	15.7	2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 108, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	93.7%
PHI 98, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.4%
POR 96, MIL 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0	93.3%