NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	4.0 [1071]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (ORL): +17.2%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	1.1 [1274]		LVP	JJ Hickson (CLE): -8.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	20	52%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	8	68%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Jamario Moon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	14	56%	0.07	4	-0.07	8	75%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Ryan Hollins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
JJ Hickson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.05	6	54%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.01	-0.01	7	100%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	13	77%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	62%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	100%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	4	-0.07	24	54%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	0.7	30.5	16.4	27.5	2.4	35.6	141.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +49.8%

CLE -1.0%

CLE -5.5%

ORL +4.9%

ORL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.6	15.5	106.4	115.6	105.7
season	15.1	15.2		100.8	106.3
opponent	16.2	15.4		101.1	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	14.1	18.0	14.3	15.7
ORL	14.5	14.1	14.1	15.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	11	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-9	7	16.4	15.6	0.73	12.1	15.0	-2.92
Joey Graham	44	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-7	3	15.7	15.8	-0.08	15.4	13.9	1.58
Anderson Varejao	46	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.09	-10	-1	-9	15.9	15.5	0.37	14.9	14.4	0.48
Ryan Hollins	31	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-9	7	15.4	15.9	-0.55	15.7	14.1	1.55
JJ Hickson	41	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-7	3	15.0	16.2	-1.20	14.9	14.4	0.45
Anthony Parker	47	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	15.0	16.4	-1.36	14.9	14.3	0.54
Mo Williams	55	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	15.7	15.8	-0.12	15.0	14.1	0.91
Ramon Sessions	39	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-6	1	15.8	15.7	0.12	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Jamario Moon	38	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-4	-3	16.0	15.6	0.42	14.0	15.0	-0.97
Antawn Jamison	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-7	3	16.1	15.1	1.06	14.2	15.2	-0.94
Daniel Gibson	59	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-6	1	16.1	15.0	1.11	14.1	15.4	-1.26

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	65	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-1	13	14.5	14.8	-0.35	15.7	15.7	0.01
Rashard Lewis	69	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	2	7	14.3	15.4	-1.17	16.2	14.5	1.64
Dwight Howard	69	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.08	9	2	7	14.3	15.4	-1.17	16.2	14.5	1.64
Mickael Pietrus	54	54	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	3	5	14.5	14.7	-0.20	15.7	15.7	-0.05
JJ Redick	74	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	9	-7	14.9	13.7	1.14	15.7	15.7	0.05
Jameer Nelson	52	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.10	6	5	1	14.7	14.5	0.28	16.6	14.6	1.93
Chris Duhon	43	41	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	6	-1	14.3	14.9	-0.59	14.6	16.6	-1.93
Marcin Gortat	27	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	9	-7	15.4	14.3	1.17	14.5	16.2	-1.64
Brandon Bass	27	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	9	-7	15.4	14.3	1.17	14.5	16.2	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 91, DET 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CLE 76, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIA 74, CHI 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%