NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	107		Excitement	6.5 [514]		MVP	Toney Douglas (NYK): +22.6%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	1.3 [851]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): -9.3%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	18	62%	0.19	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	75%	0.13	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	9	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.15,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.09	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	21	41%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.05	-0.00	12	85%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Landry Fields	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.11	0.00	10	70%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	6	100%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.08	0.08	-0.09	0.14	-0.03	12	55%	0.22	7	-0.14	7	100%	0.05
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	68%	0.12	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.08
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	13	52%	0.07	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.0	29.2	16.3	26.6	2.3	36.3	140.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +31.4%

NYK +25.5%

CHA -21.3%

NYK +5.7%

NYK +8.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	13.4	15.5	107.0	110.0	105.7
season	16.2	14.3		102.3	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		108.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.6	17.4	14.3	13.5	15.4
NYK	11.8	13.1	12.4	16.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	36	37	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.08	8	-11	19	16.2	15.0	1.21	13.6	13.2	0.43
Dominic McGuire	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-5	7	18.8	14.9	3.85	10.8	13.8	-2.91
Tyrus Thomas	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-6	9	14.8	15.6	-0.88	12.9	13.5	-0.62
Shaun Livingston	48	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.41	10	-13	23	15.7	15.2	0.51	14.2	12.6	1.59
Nazr Mohammed	10	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	6	-15	15.4	15.4	-0.02	11.3	13.6	-2.31
Derrick Brown	48	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	1	-5	17.0	14.0	2.96	13.5	13.3	0.19
D.J. Augustin	85	86	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-7	11	15.0	17.9	-2.88	13.5	12.6	0.94
Gerald Wallace	85	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	14.7	19.7	-5.00	14.0	10.1	3.95
Boris Diaw	71	70	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.35	-11	8	-19	14.9	16.8	-1.89	13.1	14.0	-0.84
Stephen Jackson	78	77	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.30	-16	13	-29	15.4	15.5	-0.10	12.9	14.9	-1.99

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	82	83	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-9	21	13.2	14.1	-0.82	15.3	16.1	-0.84
Raymond Felton	80	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.41	5	-2	7	12.9	15.3	-2.46	15.7	14.2	1.46
Ronny Turiaf	63	65	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	2	-1	13.8	12.6	1.16	14.8	16.5	-1.68
Landry Fields	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	1	1	13.1	13.7	-0.58	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	64	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	-6	15	13.5	13.1	0.42	14.8	16.5	-1.69
Wilson Chandler	61	61	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	2	-1	13.2	13.6	-0.39	16.0	14.6	1.40
Toney Douglas	50	49	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	4	-5	14.0	12.8	1.16	15.5	15.4	0.14
Henry Walker	22	21	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	9	-15	14.6	13.0	1.61	16.5	15.1	1.34
Timofey Mozgov	22	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	11	-19	12.5	13.6	-1.07	17.1	15.0	2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.9,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.86,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 92, LAL 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.4%
DET 83, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.59,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.4%
MIA 85, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.94,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.99,1	93.3%