NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	97		Excitement	7.3 [363]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +28.4%
New Orleans Hornets	99		Comeback	3.5 [540]		LVP	Jose Juan Barea (DAL): -28.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28	0.08	0.20	-0.00	8	89%	0.35	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.16	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,-0.04	0.10	-0.15	-0.01	19	64%	0.29	2	-0.32	7	100%	0.04
Caron Butler	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	7	69%	0.04	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.28	-0.11	-0.18	-0.01	13	28%	-0.26	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.10	0.17	0.01	10	74%	0.28	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.09	-0.02	13	69%	0.25	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.07	0.03	16	50%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Quincy Pondexter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pops Mensah-Bonsu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.01	10	57%	0.12	1	-0.16	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	28.1	15.8	32.2	2.6	37.2	140.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +33.0%

DAL -22.7%

NOH +9.9%

NOH +30.9%

DAL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOH	NBA	DAL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.3	16.9	15.5	107.8	111.2	105.7
season	15.7	16.2		108.5	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.7		104.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	15.2	16.6	15.0	15.3
NOH	16.2	19.0	16.1	16.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	34	32	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-5	8	15.1	15.5	-0.38	19.2	15.6	3.58
DeShawn Stevenson	19	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-1	0	16.1	15.1	0.93	14.3	17.6	-3.24
Caron Butler	43	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-4	6	15.6	15.0	0.59	16.5	17.2	-0.78
Shawn Marion	50	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.25	-13	11	-24	15.7	14.8	0.94	17.6	16.1	1.58
Dirk Nowitzki	64	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.64	17	-19	36	15.0	16.1	-1.12	17.2	15.8	1.31
Jose Juan Barea	48	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-8	14	15.4	15.3	0.07	17.8	15.8	1.97
Brian Cardinal	7	4	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	11	-24	18.4	15.1	3.37	9.0	17.2	-8.24
Jason Kidd	66	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	3	-8	15.2	15.8	-0.64	16.7	17.3	-0.65
Jason Terry	63	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.53	-1	-1	0	14.7	16.8	-2.08	17.0	16.5	0.52
Tyson Chandler	56	57	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.46	-5	3	-8	15.5	15.1	0.38	15.6	19.2	-3.58

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	70	69	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.58	2	0	2	17.3	15.1	2.24	15.2	15.7	-0.51
David West	71	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-3	8	16.7	17.4	-0.73	15.5	14.5	1.05
Trevor Ariza	59	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	-3	8	16.2	18.3	-2.11	15.0	15.9	-0.94
Chris Paul	69	70	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	-1	4	16.7	17.5	-0.88	14.7	17.4	-2.74
Marco Belinelli	59	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	-2	6	16.8	16.9	-0.05	15.6	14.7	0.89
Willie Green	34	35	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.26	-5	7	-12	16.7	17.0	-0.31	15.6	15.1	0.50
Quincy Pondexter	5	5	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.04	3	-1	4	16.4	16.9	-0.49	18.0	15.2	2.84
Jerryd Bayless	18	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	2	-2	17.3	16.7	0.59	16.7	15.0	1.75
Jason Smith	29	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	5	-8	17.2	16.7	0.56	15.6	15.2	0.44
Peja Stojakovic	31	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.13	-2	4	-6	17.6	16.5	1.15	14.7	15.7	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.54,0.64,0.97,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, SAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.78,0.98,0.97,1	90.8%
DEN 101, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.8,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	90.6%
CLE 96, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.62,0.9,0.98,1,1	90.5%