NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	83		Excitement	3.1 [1195]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +12.4%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	1.2 [1287]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -9.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.03	15	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Thornton	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	68%	0.09	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	4	0%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lester Hudson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	10	42%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	9	56%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	11	37%	-0.03	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.04	16	72%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	11	82%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	7	68%	0.08	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.04
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	0.00	0.05	7	86%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.04	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	30.0	15.8	27.3	2.5	26.3	128.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +46.2%

WAS -4.0%

WAS -0.7%

BOS +8.0%

BOS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	18.0	15.5	15.5	96.5	132.6	105.7
season	15.1	15.7		100.9	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		99.6	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	19.0	19.5	15.2	18.4	18.0
BOS	13.2	15.6	16.8	16.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	37	38	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.14	-3	-28	25	17.4	18.4	-1.01	16.1	15.1	0.97
Lester Hudson	25	26	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.11	-2	-29	27	17.3	18.2	-0.95	14.9	15.8	-0.93
Kevin Seraphin	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-27	23	17.0	18.2	-1.15	15.6	15.5	0.03
Cartier Martin	23	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.12	-5	-26	21	15.5	18.8	-3.32	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Nick Young	51	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.40	-20	-11	-9	18.7	16.8	1.90	16.4	14.3	2.12
Hilton Armstrong	21	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-24	17	17.7	18.0	-0.32	14.8	15.8	-0.96
JaVale McGee	50	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.28	-20	-11	-9	18.3	17.4	0.92	15.8	15.1	0.70
Al Thornton	48	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.20	-18	-13	-5	18.2	17.7	0.48	15.6	15.5	0.06
Gilbert Arenas	55	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.32	-27	-4	-23	18.6	16.8	1.79	15.5	15.6	-0.03
Kirk Hinrich	56	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.08	-21	-10	-11	17.7	18.4	-0.63	15.1	16.3	-1.19
Andray Blatche	49	48	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.27	-28	-3	-25	18.4	17.4	1.01	15.1	16.1	-0.97

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	56	57	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.13	23	8	15	15.1	16.4	-1.33	17.2	19.3	-2.10
Ray Allen	49	49	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.08	21	10	11	14.9	16.4	-1.48	17.7	18.3	-0.56
Kevin Garnett	44	44	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	12	7	15.0	16.0	-1.00	17.7	18.2	-0.56
Shaquille O'Neal	42	42	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	15	1	14.7	16.3	-1.56	17.9	18.0	-0.05
Paul Pierce	51	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	15	1	15.0	16.4	-1.41	16.7	19.9	-3.29
Marquis Daniels	26	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.31	15	16	-1	16.7	15.0	1.71	20.9	16.7	4.20
Glen Davis	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.36	15	16	-1	16.7	14.5	2.24	18.4	17.5	0.93
Semih Erden	36	37	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.35	12	19	-7	15.8	15.4	0.42	18.0	17.9	0.08
Luke Harangody	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	31	-31	15.3	15.6	-0.23	16.9	18.1	-1.19
Von Wafer	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	31	-31	15.3	15.6	-0.23	16.9	18.1	-1.19
Delonte West	37	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.33	10	21	-11	16.4	14.9	1.48	18.3	17.7	0.56
Nate Robinson	30	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.28	8	23	-15	16.4	15.1	1.33	19.3	17.2	2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, ORL 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
ORL 67, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
SAS 90, DEN 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%