NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	6.8 [466]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +38.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	95		Comeback	16.5 [62]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): -10.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.39	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	66%	0.39	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Deron Williams	0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,0.38	-0.06	0.41	-0.03	15	45%	0.42	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.01	11	65%	0.13	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jeremy Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	44%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Elson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	13	45%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.18	-0.00	16	63%	0.30	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.05	-0.03	18	55%	0.16	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.07
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.07	-0.03	11	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	11	44%	-0.07	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	29.1	15.5	26.3	2.5	33.2	131.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.9%

UTA +1.6%

CHA -7.1%

UTA +11.4%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHA	NBA	UTA	CHA	NBA
this game	16.8	16.0	15.5	110.3	106.7	105.7
season	15.9	16.2		106.4	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.5	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.1	15.9	15.0	17.4	16.8
CHA	14.5	16.9	15.0	17.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	46	47	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.38	18	-17	35	17.5	15.9	1.59	16.4	15.5	0.93
Deron Williams	65	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.52	1	0	1	15.9	19.5	-3.59	15.6	17.2	-1.66
Paul Millsap	62	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.53	0	1	-1	15.7	19.4	-3.69	15.6	16.9	-1.33
Al Jefferson	58	60	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.64	-6	7	-13	15.8	18.7	-2.83	15.5	17.0	-1.48
Andrei Kirilenko	71	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.61	-6	7	-13	17.1	15.5	1.56	15.2	19.1	-3.90
Francisco Elson	10	11	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	-3	7	20.5	16.3	4.21	18.5	15.6	2.84
Kyrylo Fesenko	29	29	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.17	7	-6	13	18.7	15.8	2.83	17.0	15.5	1.48
Gordon Hayward	7	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.07	2	-1	3	9.9	17.4	-7.52	18.9	15.7	3.20
Ronnie Price	8	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	0	1	20.9	16.4	4.52	20.1	15.6	4.57
Earl Watson	22	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	1	-1	19.5	15.9	3.59	17.2	15.6	1.66
Jeremy Evans	15	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	4	-7	18.7	16.4	2.29	15.7	16.0	-0.30
Raja Bell	42	43	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.08	-13	14	-27	15.8	17.6	-1.81	15.4	16.5	-1.06

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Brown	26	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.16	-5	4	-9	15.6	16.1	-0.55	18.3	16.1	2.16
Sherron Collins	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-1	1	0.0	16.0	-15.97	19.0	16.7	2.26
Matt Carroll	15	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.14	-5	4	-9	17.7	15.6	2.13	16.6	16.8	-0.15
Shaun Livingston	27	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	4	-9	17.0	15.5	1.54	18.9	15.8	3.07
Eduardo Najera	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	3	-7	18.5	15.6	2.84	20.4	16.2	4.11
DeSagana Diop	19	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.16	-8	7	-15	16.3	15.9	0.38	16.4	16.9	-0.48
Nazr Mohammed	68	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.60	7	-8	15	16.0	15.8	0.21	17.0	15.9	1.13
D.J. Augustin	78	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.63	6	-7	13	15.9	16.5	-0.56	16.5	18.6	-2.10
Stephen Jackson	64	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.66	7	-8	15	15.2	17.8	-2.61	16.0	18.8	-2.85
Gerald Wallace	72	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.54	2	-3	5	15.8	16.6	-0.84	16.7	16.9	-0.14
Boris Diaw	65	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.53	0	-1	1	15.7	16.7	-1.02	15.6	19.8	-4.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.74,0	94.4%
SEA 92, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.85,0	93.7%
MIL 114, BOS 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.76,0.54,0.76,0.79,0.66,0.58,0	93.7%