NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	7.3 [340]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +52.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	12.9 [38]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -30.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.53	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.53	0.11	0.41	0.00	12	75%	0.55	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	12	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Desmond Mason	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	10	40%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	15	54%	-0.04	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.04
Gary Payton	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.31	-0.12	-0.20	-0.01	24	38%	-0.23	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	15	74%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.08	0.09	-0.03	8	59%	0.13	5	-0.08	6	83%	0.04
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	4	50%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.13	-0.02	25	47%	-0.10	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.27	-0.27	-0.04	-0.23	-0.00	7	36%	-0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	29.0	15.8	23.0	2.4	36.5	131.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +29.2%

PHI -12.0%

SEA +21.3%

SEA +15.7%

PHI -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHI	NBA	SEA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	15.5	97.9	95.7	101.6
season	16.5	15.3		101.7	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.9	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.4	14.8	15.9	15.3	15.8
PHI	12.1	14.6	17.7	16.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	55	54	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.24	18	-14	32	15.0	17.0	-2.00	16.6	13.1	3.54
Vladimir Radmanovic	58	57	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.25	13	-9	22	15.5	16.4	-0.86	15.2	15.0	0.26
Gary Payton	83	82	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-3	10	16.0	14.9	1.04	15.4	13.1	2.28
Rashard Lewis	88	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	5	-6	16.0	13.5	2.49	15.5	11.7	3.70
Ansu Sesay	2	1	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	3	-2	0.5	16.2	-15.66	8.0	15.2	-7.21
Brent Barry	62	62	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.23	-2	6	-8	16.4	14.8	1.54	14.1	17.2	-3.07
Calvin Booth	40	40	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.21	8	-4	12	16.3	15.5	0.82	16.2	14.3	1.98
Kenny Anderson	15	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.08	2	2	0	14.6	16.1	-1.46	12.9	15.6	-2.63
Predrag Drobnjak	39	38	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.10	-11	15	-26	16.9	15.1	1.78	15.2	15.1	0.18
Reggie Evans	28	27	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.16	-15	19	-34	15.7	15.9	-0.11	12.2	16.3	-4.12

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monty Williams	33	35	0.32	-0.82	1.14	-0.15	16	-20	36	14.2	15.6	-1.43	18.1	14.5	3.55
Todd MacCulloch	35	35	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.11	11	-15	26	13.2	16.3	-3.07	16.5	15.4	1.14
Art Long	13	13	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.09	2	-6	8	15.1	15.1	-0.06	11.9	16.5	-4.53
Aaron McKie	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-1	-2	12.0	15.5	-3.51	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Eric Snow	83	85	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.52	8	-12	20	14.8	18.3	-3.55	15.9	14.8	1.16
Brian Skinner	23	23	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	6	-16	15.4	15.0	0.41	15.6	15.9	-0.35
Derrick Coleman	41	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	2	-8	16.4	14.1	2.32	16.2	15.5	0.66
John Salmons	11	13	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	9	-22	19.5	14.5	4.91	12.2	16.4	-4.18
Greg Buckner	56	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	9	-22	15.5	14.6	0.85	15.2	16.7	-1.52
Allen Iverson	84	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.37	-7	3	-10	15.2	14.0	1.24	15.9	15.3	0.55
Keith Van Horn	71	74	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.52	-5	1	-6	15.5	14.0	1.40	16.1	15.0	1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.91,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, CHA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.72,0	93.7%
MIL 105, BOS 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.74,0	91.5%
SAS 100, OKC 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.86,0.86,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.76,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.69,0.58,0	91.3%