NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	93		Excitement	6.8 [470]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +23.3%
Washington Wizards	85		Comeback	2.9 [266]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -28.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.23	0.14	0.07	-0.01	15	66%	0.25	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.01	10	86%	0.31	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
D.J. Augustin	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	81%	0.14	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.07	-0.02	11	54%	0.13	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Sherron Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	4	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Derrick Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.00	7	87%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	5	77%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.03
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	21	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	16	41%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	8	12%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.11	-0.04	14	18%	-0.13	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	27.5	16.4	26.3	3.5	31.7	131.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +51.9%

CHA +4.7%

CHA +22.4%

WAS -31.8%

CHA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	16.6	15.8	15.5	103.3	96.6	105.7
season	16.2	15.1		102.3	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.7	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.4	15.9	16.9	18.2	16.6
WAS	15.9	17.6	15.1	14.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	43	42	1.06	-0.56	1.61	0.29	26	-18	44	16.5	16.7	-0.21	15.7	15.8	-0.07
Gerald Wallace	75	73	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.35	15	-7	22	17.0	14.6	2.40	15.5	16.8	-1.27
D.J. Augustin	63	62	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.19	16	-8	24	16.6	16.7	-0.15	15.0	17.7	-2.70
Boris Diaw	73	69	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.29	12	-4	16	16.6	16.7	-0.13	15.8	15.6	0.15
Stephen Jackson	81	79	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-4	16	16.2	20.2	-4.02	15.1	21.2	-6.10
Gerald Henderson	5	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	10	-12	22.0	16.3	5.72	19.0	15.6	3.45
Matt Carroll	21	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	12	-16	17.0	16.5	0.46	16.7	15.4	1.27
DeSagana Diop	19	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	12	-16	17.4	16.4	1.04	15.8	15.7	0.13
Tyrus Thomas	26	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	19	-30	16.5	16.6	-0.14	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Derrick Brown	13	14	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.11	-7	15	-22	14.8	16.9	-2.05	16.7	15.6	1.15
Shaun Livingston	31	30	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.00	-13	21	-34	16.2	16.8	-0.62	18.0	14.6	3.46

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	25	26	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.07	4	-12	16	14.6	16.2	-1.55	16.8	16.5	0.35
Hilton Armstrong	7	8	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-12	16	18.1	15.5	2.60	17.2	16.5	0.71
JaVale McGee	41	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.12	-6	-2	-4	16.3	15.3	1.02	15.4	17.7	-2.33
Al Thornton	39	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-1	-6	16.5	15.1	1.37	15.4	17.5	-2.12
Gilbert Arenas	57	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-9	10	16.1	15.2	0.91	16.5	16.8	-0.28
Yi Jianlian	55	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	-6	4	15.5	16.2	-0.74	17.7	14.8	2.86
Kirk Hinrich	70	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-3	-2	15.4	17.0	-1.57	16.9	15.5	1.39
Andray Blatche	73	74	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.27	-12	4	-16	15.4	17.3	-1.91	16.4	17.4	-1.02
John Wall	73	73	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.31	-17	9	-26	15.8	15.6	0.18	17.0	15.0	1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.33,0.2,0.07,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 106, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.04,0.02,0.02,0	92.6%
SAS 107, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.05,0	92.3%
MEM 102, SAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.22,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.15,0.01,0,0,0	92.2%