NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	118		Excitement	8.3 [193]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +32.3%
Atlanta Hawks	114		Comeback	1.3 [378]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): -5.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.28	0.04	0.24	-0.00	7	57%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.12	-0.00	8	71%	0.24	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.16,0.21	0.09	0.12	0.01	11	73%	0.30	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Jason Richardson	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.25,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	15	70%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	10	58%	0.17	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.07
Josh Childress	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	9	50%	0.13	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Robin Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Hakim Warrick	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.01	7	79%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.32	0.32	0.23	0.13	0.04	16	81%	0.34	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.08
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.00	-0.02	27	59%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.11	-0.05	0.14	-0.01	11	44%	0.17	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.05
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	0.00	10	68%	0.19	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.8	27.2	16.4	24.6	2.6	38.7	140.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +70.7%

ATL -2.7%

ATL -10.7%

ATL -7.9%

PHX +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.5	126.9	121.3	105.7
season	14.5	16.5		108.0	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.7		105.1	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.9	15.1	16.3	19.9	15.4
ATL	13.9	16.2	14.4	18.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	38	38	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.34	6	-2	8	17.5	13.9	3.58	16.9	14.4	2.56
Hedo Turkoglu	55	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	-5	14	14.0	17.5	-3.49	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Robin Lopez	42	42	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-10	24	12.0	18.2	-6.13	15.8	15.1	0.75
Jared Dudley	35	36	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-8	20	17.3	14.3	3.06	16.2	14.9	1.39
Steve Nash	67	69	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-2	8	14.4	18.0	-3.65	15.0	16.5	-1.48
Jason Richardson	65	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	8	-12	14.1	18.4	-4.22	14.6	17.1	-2.51
Channing Frye	50	52	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.33	-8	12	-20	18.5	11.8	6.73	15.1	15.8	-0.75
Goran Dragic	24	25	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	4	-4	19.4	14.0	5.40	16.5	15.0	1.48
Hakim Warrick	38	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	9	-14	17.5	14.0	3.49	15.6	15.2	0.40
Grant Hill	51	50	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.33	-10	14	-24	13.3	18.0	-4.64	14.6	16.2	-1.61

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	10	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-3	2	14.9	15.5	-0.55	11.2	16.0	-4.79
Jordan Crawford	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-1	-2	15.4	15.4	-0.01	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Josh Smith	85	85	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.41	8	-12	20	14.8	21.4	-6.69	15.5	14.7	0.72
Jeff Teague	35	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	2	-8	15.8	15.2	0.65	15.5	15.4	0.09
Jamal Crawford	56	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.37	4	-8	12	15.3	15.6	-0.27	16.6	13.6	3.00
Al Horford	82	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-10	16	15.3	16.1	-0.79	15.6	14.2	1.35
Josh Powell	24	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	10	-24	16.4	15.1	1.32	14.2	15.7	-1.51
Mike Bibby	60	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-4	4	14.9	16.2	-1.27	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Zaza Pachulia	15	13	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	9	-22	20.0	14.5	5.48	15.7	15.4	0.33
Joe Johnson	85	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.40	-1	-3	2	15.3	16.0	-0.67	15.4	16.0	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.2,0.09,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.34,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 76, UTA 75	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.45,0.26,0	91.5%
DEN 108, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.39,0.28,0.29,0.01,0	90.9%
SAC 114, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.26,0	90.5%