NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	100		Excitement	7.9 [270]		MVP	Devin Harris (NJN): +36.9%
New Jersey Nets	106		Comeback	17.4 [93]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -18.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.24	0.13	0.12	0.01	12	72%	0.24	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Darnell Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	9	52%	0.08	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
DeMarcus Cousins	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	55%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Donte Greene	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	13	54%	0.10	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	15	39%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Tyreke Evans	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	19	44%	-0.05	4	-0.14	3	33%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.23,0.37	0.37	0.07	0.31	0.01	10	75%	0.52	4	-0.15	8	62%	-0.08
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	9	72%	0.14	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	64%	0.12	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	83%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Stephen Graham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.12,0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.08	0.02	16	62%	0.17	5	-0.20	15	87%	0.03
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.01	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.7	36.6	15.7	30.3	1.6	40.7	154.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +58.0%

NJN +22.8%

NJN +18.4%

SAC -49.4%

NJN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NJN	NBA	SAC	NJN	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	15.5	100.0	106.0	105.7
season	14.9	16.4		102.1	101.6
opponent	15.3	14.9		108.5	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.1	13.7	13.9	16.6	14.5
NJN	13.0	13.5	16.1	14.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luther Head	40	40	0.43	-0.93	1.35	-0.10	18	-24	42	13.9	14.9	-0.95	16.0	13.1	2.95
Donte Greene	8	8	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.14	10	-16	26	10.6	14.9	-4.23	16.0	14.1	1.87
DeMarcus Cousins	45	47	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.21	-4	-2	-2	13.9	15.0	-1.15	13.6	14.9	-1.29
Darnell Jackson	44	42	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.32	12	-18	30	15.0	14.2	0.78	16.4	12.8	3.58
Jason Thompson	29	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-1	-4	14.9	14.4	0.48	13.7	14.6	-0.87
Samuel Dalembert	13	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	6	-18	17.7	14.0	3.65	13.1	14.4	-1.36
Beno Udrih	78	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-6	6	14.2	15.7	-1.49	14.2	14.5	-0.23
Francisco Garcia	62	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-6	6	14.9	13.9	1.05	15.0	13.1	1.91
Omri Casspi	47	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	10	-26	13.6	15.3	-1.66	12.4	15.9	-3.42
Carl Landry	59	57	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.44	-13	7	-20	14.7	14.2	0.51	14.3	14.3	0.04
Tyreke Evans	75	77	-0.99	0.49	-1.48	-0.40	-20	14	-34	15.1	12.8	2.24	13.5	17.0	-3.53

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	72	71	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.33	19	-13	32	14.2	14.6	-0.45	15.2	13.0	2.19
Anthony Morrow	73	71	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.34	14	-8	22	13.4	16.6	-3.17	14.9	13.7	1.22
Jordan Farmar	52	54	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.60	4	2	2	14.7	13.8	0.98	14.7	14.3	0.36
Brook Lopez	74	73	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-9	24	14.1	14.7	-0.61	15.3	12.5	2.74
Kris Humphries	47	46	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	8	-10	14.3	14.3	0.03	15.2	14.0	1.17
Joe Smith	21	22	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	0	6	13.1	14.6	-1.50	13.9	14.7	-0.84
Derrick Favors	40	40	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	7	-8	15.1	13.7	1.45	14.7	14.4	0.38
Damion James	17	16	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	6	-6	13.6	14.4	-0.83	11.6	15.1	-3.45
Stephen Graham	2	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	7	-8	2.5	14.5	-12.02	3.0	14.6	-11.64
Johan Petro	15	16	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.01	-9	15	-24	16.8	13.8	2.96	11.4	15.1	-3.74
Travis Outlaw	63	65	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.42	3	3	0	14.6	13.7	0.87	14.9	13.9	0.98
Terrence Williams	24	25	-0.47	0.97	-1.45	0.05	-18	24	-42	15.3	13.9	1.39	11.7	15.5	-3.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.1,0.14,0.02,0.1,0.42,1	89.8%
TOR 106, VAN 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.2,0.12,0.33,0.84,1	89.5%
PHI 86, NOK 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.58,1	89.2%