NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	86		Excitement	7.4 [355]		MVP	David West (NOK): +24.7%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	88		Comeback	16.9 [118]		LVP	Speedy Claxton (NOK): -22.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	26	52%	0.09	1	-0.03	14	79%	0.04
Steven Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
James Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,-0.1	-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	25	47%	0.05	2	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	18%	-0.03	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.15	-0.02	16	65%	0.29	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.01	0.18	-0.02	10	48%	0.25	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.08
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	11	62%	0.18	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.03
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	25%	-0.12
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	15	36%	-0.13	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	9	40%	-0.09	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.2	2.7	26.2	14.7	31.1	1.7	54.1	163.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +24.6%

NOK +1.9%

NOK +30.4%

PHI -9.5%

NOK +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NOK	NBA	PHI	NOK	NBA
this game	15.6	17.3	15.6	98.9	100.0	104.4
season	15.2	16.3		104.1	101.2
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	16.2	16.2	17.0	15.6
NOK	13.0	16.5	20.6	20.9	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	34	36	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.04	10	-12	22	15.8	15.4	0.39	19.6	15.7	3.83
Andre Iguodala	71	71	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-6	10	15.6	15.7	-0.12	17.6	15.9	1.71
Steven Hunter	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-2	2	16.7	15.1	1.62	16.9	17.5	-0.67
Kevin Ollie	14	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	0	-2	17.6	15.2	2.45	15.6	17.6	-1.99
James Thomas	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-1	0	10.8	15.9	-5.10	13.0	17.6	-4.63
Michael Bradley	11	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	5	-12	16.4	15.5	0.89	10.4	18.4	-7.99
Lee Nailon	15	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	4	-10	12.8	16.2	-3.37	16.8	17.4	-0.63
Chris Webber	78	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.44	2	-4	6	16.0	11.9	4.12	18.0	11.3	6.67
Allen Iverson	80	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.47	0	-2	2	14.9	23.6	-8.68	17.4	16.0	1.45
Kyle Korver	58	59	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.64	1	-3	4	15.2	16.4	-1.19	17.3	17.3	-0.04
John Salmons	41	42	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.46	-11	9	-20	16.6	14.7	1.94	16.9	17.7	-0.75

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	66	66	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.57	7	-5	12	17.5	16.8	0.67	15.8	14.9	0.96
Chris Paul	71	70	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.61	2	0	2	17.0	18.8	-1.79	15.1	17.7	-2.63
Desmond Mason	59	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.48	3	-1	4	17.7	16.5	1.19	14.8	17.1	-2.30
Speedy Claxton	47	46	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.51	0	2	-2	17.9	16.7	1.19	15.4	15.8	-0.37
David West	79	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	2	-2	17.6	15.1	2.46	14.9	22.6	-7.75
Rasual Butler	29	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	3	-4	16.5	17.7	-1.19	17.1	14.8	2.30
J.R. Smith	58	58	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.23	2	0	2	17.3	17.4	-0.07	16.3	14.1	2.28
Chris Andersen	31	29	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.14	-3	5	-8	16.3	17.9	-1.54	17.0	14.9	2.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, DEN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.43,0.74,1	90.6%
SAC 89, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.32,0.21,0.29,0.16,0.03,0.07,0.32,0.58,1	90.6%
BOS 87, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.33,0.45,0.29,0.16,0.42,1	89.4%