NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	95		Excitement	8.9 [129]		MVP	Jason Maxiell (DET): +17.8%
Charlotte Bobcats	99		Comeback	2.0 [604]		LVP	Will Bynum (DET): -30.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Maxiell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	6	74%	0.18	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.13
Austin Daye	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.07	0.00	7	56%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	0.04	-0.13	0.00	10	55%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DaJuan Summers	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	9	40%	-0.06	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Ben Gordon	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.18,-0.24	-0.05	-0.21	-0.01	20	44%	-0.19	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.07
Will Bynum	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.17,-0.05,-0.3	-0.05	-0.25	0.01	12	41%	-0.18	2	-0.12	5	80%	0.05

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	0.00	6	92%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.09	-0.00	1	92%	0.22	2	-0.07	10	90%	0.09
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.11	0.01	12	54%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	6	57%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	82%	0.23	5	-0.21	2	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	9	58%	0.09	2	-0.11	6	67%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	25.4	15.6	25.4	1.6	38.2	131.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +105.9%

CHA +9.3%

DET -47.2%

DET -17.9%

DET -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHA	NBA	DET	CHA	NBA
this game	17.8	15.9	15.3	111.8	115.1	106.0
season	16.8	16.2		104.0	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.2		101.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.6	18.4	17.9	17.4	17.8
CHA	17.5	16.7	15.6	13.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	29	30	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.14	5	-9	14	15.8	18.9	-3.15	16.7	15.4	1.29
Austin Daye	36	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-1	-2	15.7	19.4	-3.71	14.9	16.7	-1.76
Ben Wallace	42	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-3	2	18.5	17.2	1.27	17.4	14.2	3.22
DaJuan Summers	11	12	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	3	-10	16.5	18.0	-1.48	17.1	15.7	1.42
Jonas Jerebko	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-1	-2	18.9	16.9	2.01	17.1	14.9	2.23
Charlie Villanueva	47	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-3	2	16.9	18.9	-2.01	15.2	16.7	-1.48
Tayshaun Prince	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.37	2	-6	8	19.2	15.5	3.65	16.1	15.5	0.56
Jason Maxiell	43	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-1	-2	17.2	18.5	-1.27	14.2	17.4	-3.22
Ben Gordon	69	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.49	0	-4	4	18.1	16.6	1.49	15.8	16.1	-0.32
Will Bynum	56	56	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.52	-9	5	-14	18.9	15.8	3.15	15.4	16.7	-1.29

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	47	47	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.42	10	-6	16	16.4	15.2	1.20	19.0	16.4	2.56
Boris Diaw	59	60	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	0	4	15.2	17.2	-1.98	18.6	16.1	2.49
D.J. Augustin	73	72	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-6	16	15.4	18.5	-3.15	18.2	15.7	2.53
Gerald Wallace	57	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.49	1	3	-2	16.3	15.0	1.30	19.0	15.6	3.47
Larry Hughes	49	49	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	2	0	14.8	17.2	-2.43	16.7	19.4	-2.74
Tyson Chandler	38	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	0	4	14.8	16.7	-1.82	16.6	18.9	-2.25
Theo Ratliff	42	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	9	-14	17.9	13.9	3.95	18.7	17.0	1.68
Derrick Brown	27	25	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	4	-4	17.2	15.2	1.98	16.1	18.6	-2.49
Stephen Graham	38	36	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.01	-6	10	-16	15.6	16.1	-0.50	15.6	19.4	-3.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.74,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.62,0.75,0.66,0.84,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.34,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.45,0.58,1	91.4%
BOS 106, VAN 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.53,0.69,0.59,0.33,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.73,1	91.2%
PHX 84, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.55,0.68,0.58,1	90.8%