NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	101		Excitement	5.3 [731]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +15.4%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	1.8 [929]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -11.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	14	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	45%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
DeJuan Blair	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	4	55%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	63%	0.09	4	-0.08	7	57%	-0.03
Malik Hairston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Antonio McDyess	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	52%	0.07	4	-0.12	7	57%	-0.02
Tony Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	14	36%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.02	-0.00	13	67%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.04	-0.03	8	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	22	60%	0.18	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.02	0.04	10	74%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	14	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.03	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	3.6	36.1	19.8	26.2	2.7	33.0	149.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +28.2%

PHX +7.4%

SAS -14.6%

PHX +26.9%

PHX +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	14.9	15.3	112.2	121.7	106.0
season	15.9	14.4		108.2	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.2	15.4	17.4	18.5	16.8
PHX	13.2	13.4	15.4	18.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Hairston	10	11	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.13	7	-18	25	16.5	16.8	-0.29	16.3	14.7	1.54
Garrett Temple	43	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-17	23	16.8	16.7	0.11	16.0	14.0	2.04
Antonio McDyess	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.14	-9	-2	-7	18.6	15.3	3.36	14.3	15.4	-1.14
Matt Bonner	34	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-11	11	15.6	17.4	-1.83	15.5	14.5	0.96
DeJuan Blair	29	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-10	9	15.1	17.6	-2.49	15.3	14.7	0.52
Tony Parker	46	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	16.3	17.2	-0.88	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Tim Duncan	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-1	-9	17.5	15.0	2.41	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Richard Jefferson	66	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	1	-13	17.2	15.6	1.60	14.1	17.2	-3.14
Manu Ginobili	60	61	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.12	-12	1	-13	16.8	16.6	0.23	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	58	62	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.16	-18	7	-25	16.0	18.2	-2.17	15.1	14.4	0.71

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	62	58	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.05	18	-7	25	14.6	15.5	-0.92	16.8	16.7	0.01
Steve Nash	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-2	15	14.2	16.3	-2.12	16.8	16.6	0.27
Grant Hill	65	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	3	5	15.2	14.3	0.87	17.8	14.2	3.60
Jason Richardson	59	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	1	9	13.7	17.2	-3.49	17.2	15.9	1.29
Jared Dudley	47	45	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	5	1	16.1	13.7	2.35	16.0	17.5	-1.51
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	68	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	5	1	14.4	16.6	-2.26	17.2	15.5	1.66
Lou Amundson	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	9	-7	16.5	14.2	2.29	15.6	17.3	-1.78
Goran Dragic	36	35	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	14	-17	16.4	13.9	2.52	15.9	17.3	-1.42
Earl Clark	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	11	-11	0.0	14.9	-14.91	2.0	16.9	-14.92
Leandro Barbosa	11	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	13	-15	14.5	15.0	-0.52	13.0	17.3	-4.28
Jarron Collins	22	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	14	-17	15.3	14.8	0.53	18.0	16.3	1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 87, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
WAS 94, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
PHI 93, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%