NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	1.8 [1302]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +8.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	118		Comeback	1.0 [1289]		LVP	Eddie House (NYK): -6.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sergio Rodriguez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	86%	0.06	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	10	56%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	21	45%	0.02	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	6	72%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Henry Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.10	0.00	0.14	12	75%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	9	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.00	0.08	12	81%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	0.00	0.09	13	69%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	11	46%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	13	54%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.6	26.0	18.6	25.2	1.8	26.4	125.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +32.5%

NYK -1.0%

POR +9.6%

POR +8.8%

POR +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	POR	NBA	NYK	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	15.7	15.3	96.8	126.9	106.0
season	14.7	16.7		105.9	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		106.3	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	17.6	14.8	14.2	15.3
POR	13.5	15.1	18.0	16.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Giddens	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-27	26	14.0	15.7	-1.61	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Eddie House	32	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-16	4	16.0	14.9	1.13	15.4	15.8	-0.44
Sergio Rodriguez	50	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-20	12	14.9	15.8	-0.93	16.1	15.1	0.99
Henry Walker	67	68	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-23	18	15.1	15.8	-0.66	16.0	14.9	1.04
Toney Douglas	60	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-14	0	15.1	15.7	-0.63	15.9	15.2	0.72
Tracy McGrady	41	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.31	-22	-6	-16	15.8	14.9	0.88	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Danilo Gallinari	73	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.27	-21	-7	-14	15.3	15.3	-0.01	15.7	15.5	0.16
David Lee	78	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.44	-27	-1	-26	15.5	14.2	1.30	15.6	16.0	-0.38
Al Harrington	43	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.43	-30	2	-32	15.6	15.0	0.58	15.6	15.7	-0.15

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	53	54	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.37	28	0	28	15.3	16.2	-0.96	15.8	14.6	1.12
Andre Miller	42	43	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.31	22	6	16	15.5	15.9	-0.41	15.7	14.9	0.76
Brandon Roy	54	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.37	23	5	18	15.3	16.2	-0.86	15.3	15.3	0.01
Marcus Camby	49	50	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.37	23	5	18	15.5	15.9	-0.35	15.5	15.1	0.41
Nicolas Batum	43	44	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.25	18	10	8	15.7	15.6	0.08	15.5	15.1	0.35
Juwan Howard	37	35	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	17	-6	15.8	15.6	0.18	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Rudy Fernandez	44	43	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.20	14	14	0	16.1	15.3	0.78	15.8	14.9	0.89
Martell Webster	39	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	23	-18	16.2	15.3	0.86	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	46	45	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	20	-12	15.5	15.9	-0.35	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Dante Cunningham	33	33	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	31	-34	16.5	15.2	1.25	14.9	15.5	-0.64
Jeff Ayres	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	31	-34	15.6	15.7	-0.04	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Travis Diener	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	34	-40	15.5	15.7	-0.25	12.5	15.7	-3.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, WAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
SEA 81, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
NOP 98, MIN 116	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%