NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	3.2 [1135]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +15.4%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	1.0 [1090]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -8.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othyus Jeffers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	89%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	57%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	11	41%	0.02	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	47%	-0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	23	46%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Deron Williams	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	14	39%	-0.04	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.32	-0.00	0.17	16	88%	0.21	5	-0.06	18	89%	0.03
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.01	0.07	9	79%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	12	42%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	13	58%	0.04	6	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	29%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	0	25%	-0.00	3	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.5	30.7	16.6	31.2	2.6	35.1	143.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +55.6%

PHX +1.8%

PHX +0.5%

UTA -8.7%

PHX +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	15.3	98.0	106.8	106.0
season	15.3	14.4		109.5	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	17.6	11.5	11.9	14.0
PHX	12.4	13.7	15.1	15.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othyus Jeffers	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-19	28	11.8	14.4	-2.59	16.5	13.6	2.85
Sundiata Gaines	26	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-14	18	11.9	14.7	-2.77	15.2	13.8	1.46
Ronnie Price	18	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-15	20	14.9	13.7	1.14	14.7	14.0	0.70
Paul Millsap	58	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.37	9	-19	28	12.9	15.4	-2.48	15.2	12.7	2.52
Kyle Korver	55	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.28	6	-16	22	13.8	14.1	-0.29	15.2	12.9	2.38
Kyrylo Fesenko	18	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.16	-13	3	-16	16.9	13.3	3.57	11.4	14.7	-3.34
Mehmet Okur	25	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	0	-10	16.6	13.1	3.51	12.2	14.8	-2.52
Deron Williams	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	2	-14	13.9	14.0	-0.08	13.8	14.7	-0.91
Carlos Boozer	75	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	6	-22	13.9	14.2	-0.37	14.0	14.4	-0.37
CJ Miles	72	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	6	-22	13.9	14.0	-0.12	13.6	15.4	-1.77
Wesley Matthews	78	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.03	-16	6	-22	14.4	12.3	2.12	13.6	16.0	-2.42

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	74	75	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.07	14	-4	18	13.7	15.3	-1.62	13.6	14.9	-1.33
Steve Nash	73	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-7	24	13.5	15.6	-2.05	13.9	14.0	-0.12
Jason Richardson	74	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	-6	22	13.8	15.0	-1.24	14.0	13.7	0.34
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	-5	20	13.5	15.9	-2.31	14.0	13.8	0.25
Grant Hill	71	72	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	7	-4	14.3	13.8	0.48	13.2	15.7	-2.52
Goran Dragic	41	39	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.25	-2	12	-14	14.9	13.7	1.22	15.1	13.2	1.91
Leandro Barbosa	24	22	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	14	-18	14.7	14.0	0.79	13.6	14.0	-0.46
Channing Frye	26	25	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	8	-6	15.3	13.8	1.55	15.5	13.4	2.08
Jared Dudley	26	24	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	10	-10	14.7	14.0	0.73	14.4	13.8	0.61
Lou Amundson	27	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.30	-9	19	-28	16.3	13.4	2.91	13.6	14.1	-0.45
Jarron Collins	3	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	11.3	14.2	-2.90	5.0	14.0	-9.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 82, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
MIN 105, SEA 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIN 73, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%