NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	121		Excitement	6.3 [528]		MVP	Reggie Williams (GSW): +46.2%
Golden State Warriors	131		Comeback	35.2 [54]		LVP	CJ Watson (GSW): -5.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.05	-0.01	26	60%	0.23	4	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Morris Peterson	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	12	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.11
Julian Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Darren Collison	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.08	0.05	-0.07	14	61%	0.19	8	-0.15	5	80%	-0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	12	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
James Posey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	68%	0.07	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.04
Emeka Okafor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.19	0.29	0.02	11	92%	0.49	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.04	0.01	9	81%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.08	-0.02	5	80%	0.15	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.19	0.01	0.05	19	71%	0.17	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	23	54%	0.19	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	56%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	35%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.2	32.9	15.6	27.7	1.8	34.2	139.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +52.9%

GSW +1.8%

NOH -9.8%

GSW +6.6%

NOH -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	GSW	NBA	NOH	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	12.5	15.3	117.5	124.8	106.0
season	15.5	13.4		106.0	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.2		110.0	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.3	16.5	16.0	15.0	15.2
GSW	12.9	11.2	13.4	12.7	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emeka Okafor	41	41	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.07	9	-19	28	15.3	15.1	0.20	12.6	12.5	0.03
Julian Wright	45	47	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.01	9	-19	28	13.9	16.2	-2.28	12.7	12.4	0.25
Morris Peterson	74	76	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-5	0	14.7	16.4	-1.77	12.7	12.0	0.70
Darren Collison	97	99	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-2	-6	14.9	19.0	-4.06	12.5	13.5	-1.02
James Posey	40	39	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.27	-10	0	-10	16.2	14.5	1.76	12.4	12.6	-0.17
Darius Songaila	66	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	1	-12	15.4	14.8	0.65	12.3	13.1	-0.82
Marcus Thornton	60	60	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.25	-14	4	-18	15.8	14.3	1.50	12.4	12.8	-0.37
David West	92	94	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.17	-20	10	-30	15.4	13.6	1.72	12.7	11.0	1.72

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	35	34	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.17	26	-16	42	13.4	12.1	1.24	15.2	15.1	0.09
Reggie Williams	68	66	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.15	19	-9	28	12.3	12.9	-0.62	15.4	14.7	0.74
Monta Ellis	105	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	12.5	0.0	12.54	15.2	0.0	15.17
Anthony Tolliver	98	97	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	3	4	12.5	13.1	-0.64	14.9	20.2	-5.30
Chris Hunter	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-5	20	13.1	11.8	1.28	16.5	13.4	3.12
Anthony Morrow	42	39	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.23	-7	17	-24	12.6	12.5	0.09	13.0	16.5	-3.46
CJ Watson	64	64	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	18	-26	12.2	13.0	-0.79	15.4	14.9	0.49
Corey Maggette	54	53	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.03	-12	22	-34	12.1	13.0	-0.97	15.2	15.1	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 89, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.7%
IND 81, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.78,0.84,0.82,1	91.6%
DEN 102, PHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.58,0.77,0.69,0.81,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	91.3%