NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	102		Excitement	6.5 [556]		MVP	Willie Green (PHI): +13.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	110		Comeback	26.0 [91]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (DEN): -11.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	18	60%	0.07	4	-0.08	12	92%	0.04
Greg Buckner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	10	67%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Francisco Elson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	0.00	0.02	12	45%	-0.03	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	16	51%	-0.06	1	-0.05	17	65%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.06	0.04	5	89%	0.14	0	0.00	9	89%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	12	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.07
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.06	-0.02	23	55%	0.15	7	-0.17	10	90%	0.04
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	65%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	9	26%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	0.00	11	42%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	27.5	15.3	31.7	2.4	39.7	144.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.2%

DEN -24.6%

PHI +17.6%

PHI +2.9%

PHI +12.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHI	NBA	DEN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	14.3	15.5	103.0	114.6	104.0
season	14.8	13.9		103.8	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.6		101.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	17.8	14.2	12.6	16.8	15.2
PHI	14.3	15.2	15.2	12.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	78	77	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.10	9	-17	26	14.7	16.9	-2.17	15.1	11.2	3.96
Rodney White	16	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-7	6	11.5	15.9	-4.40	9.7	15.2	-5.45
Marcus Camby	82	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.41	6	-14	20	15.2	15.1	0.09	15.2	9.9	5.35
Kenyon Martin	75	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-4	0	16.0	12.6	3.44	15.0	12.2	2.84
Francisco Elson	35	33	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	8	-24	14.7	15.5	-0.74	13.0	15.0	-2.08
Carmelo Anthony	86	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	15.6	12.5	3.14	14.7	11.7	2.95
Earl Boykins	40	37	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	6	-20	14.5	15.6	-1.12	12.1	15.7	-3.62
Andre Miller	83	81	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.23	-12	4	-16	15.7	12.7	2.91	14.1	15.4	-1.26

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	31	33	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.20	26	-18	44	12.1	15.4	-3.30	16.8	14.4	2.44
Samuel Dalembert	64	66	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.22	18	-10	28	14.7	13.7	0.97	16.9	11.8	5.11
Corliss Williamson	51	50	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-6	20	14.3	14.3	0.00	17.7	12.7	5.03
Andre Iguodala	63	66	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.16	17	-9	26	14.1	14.7	-0.60	16.7	12.2	4.42
Allen Iverson	90	91	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.26	8	0	8	14.1	18.2	-4.09	15.6	10.0	5.65
John Salmons	29	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	14	-20	13.7	14.6	-0.97	11.4	16.9	-5.54
Aaron McKie	33	34	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	18	-28	14.8	14.1	0.78	12.2	16.7	-4.50
Brian Skinner	23	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	15	-22	14.7	14.2	0.42	12.7	16.0	-3.31
Marc Jackson	49	52	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.08	-8	16	-24	15.0	13.6	1.40	12.5	18.2	-5.67
Kyle Korver	47	47	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.01	-12	20	-32	15.3	13.4	1.93	15.0	15.4	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.58,0.77,0.69,0.81,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 81, MIN 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.93,0.78,0.84,0.82,1	92.4%
GSW 89, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.25,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1	91.4%
NOH 121, GSW 131	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.47,0.53,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	91.3%