inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 84 Excitement2.9 [1189] MVPVince Carter (ORL): +17.0%
Orlando Magic 110 Comeback1.0 [1156] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -11.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Jefferson0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.15-0.000.071277%0.0800.002100%-0.00
Manu Ginobili0.070,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.01-0.011364%0.082-0.01250%-0.01
Matt Bonner0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.01-0.02650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05762%0.0000.002100%0.00
Garrett Temple-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Hairston-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01844%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.01437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Keith Bogans-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01233%0.001-0.022100%0.01
DeJuan Blair-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00558%-0.013-0.02250%-0.01
George Hill-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.00-0.00520%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.01425%-0.023-0.0600%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.00-0.011021%-0.091-0.02475%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.180.010.021180%0.191-0.02887%0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.170.010.071091%0.131-0.022100%0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01948%0.041-0.023100%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.01567%0.0210.002100%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00558%0.0210.00250%-0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00757%0.031-0.0200%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00-0.00750%0.021-0.026100%0.01
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.06375%0.0000.002100%0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.02437%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.000.03456%-0.023-0.04837%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.03.530.419.432.33.728.6146.9
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +39.8%
ORL +3.4%
ORL +4.3%
ORL +1.1%
ORL +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASORLNBASASORLNBA
this game16.915.615.395.5123.6106.0
season15.915.4108.2110.1
opponent15.915.1101.9103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.317.017.016.316.9
ORL14.017.215.715.715.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ian Mahinmi2223-0.01-0.490.490.11-4-221816.317.1-0.8615.715.60.15
Garrett Temple2525-0.04-0.460.430.20-8-181016.517.1-0.5615.815.60.18
Matt Bonner2625-0.07-0.430.37-0.01-2-242216.517.1-0.5414.216.2-2.04
Keith Bogans2926-0.13-0.370.240.22-12-14217.016.90.1715.215.8-0.62
DeJuan Blair2525-0.14-0.360.230.10-8-181017.216.80.3915.215.8-0.60
Antonio McDyess3638-0.20-0.300.11-0.02-6-201417.016.90.1316.614.91.66
Roger Mason Jr.2626-0.22-0.280.060.16-13-13017.216.80.4415.815.60.25
Malik Hairston4647-0.24-0.260.020.23-16-10-616.617.2-0.6116.015.30.70
Richard Jefferson6263-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-13-13016.817.2-0.4415.615.8-0.25
Manu Ginobili4343-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-11-15417.216.60.5615.815.50.31
Tim Duncan4546-0.44-0.06-0.380.17-21-5-1617.016.90.1215.515.7-0.22
George Hill5558-0.44-0.06-0.380.03-16-10-617.316.30.9415.615.6-0.02

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter57570.430.070.36-0.222241815.016.7-1.6516.917.0-0.12
Matt Barnes61600.370.130.24-0.101610615.715.40.3417.216.40.83
Rashard Lewis60600.290.210.08-0.031115-415.615.60.0617.016.70.30
Jameer Nelson35360.280.220.06-0.101313016.515.11.4617.716.41.31
Dwight Howard44440.280.220.06-0.131412216.314.91.4116.916.9-0.02
Marcin Gortat42410.280.220.06-0.191610615.315.9-0.6116.617.2-0.58
Jason Williams42400.220.28-0.06-0.191412215.016.2-1.1916.717.1-0.40
Brandon Bass28280.140.36-0.23-0.13917-815.415.8-0.4017.616.60.95
Mickael Pietrus780.120.38-0.25-0.08719-1215.915.60.2517.116.90.22
JJ Redick42390.090.41-0.33-0.09620-1416.115.20.8416.417.3-0.92
Anthony Johnson15150.000.50-0.50-0.09323-2015.315.7-0.3616.517.0-0.47
Ryan Anderson12120.000.50-0.500.03-127-2815.215.7-0.4415.317.2-1.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 80, MEM 1090.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
LAC 98, DEN 1230.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%
NOH 72, SEA 970.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%