NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	124		Excitement	7.4 [322]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +27.9%
Golden State Warriors	121		Comeback	2.9 [698]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -22.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	9	85%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.02	0.05	13	72%	0.16	1	-0.04	10	60%	-0.04
Metta World Peace	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	5	69%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	8	43%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Kobe Bryant	0.03	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	18	62%	0.25	9	-0.22	11	82%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.02	11	63%	0.17	8	-0.22	8	87%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.28	0.28	0.21	0.08	0.01	19	72%	0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.00	8	81%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.04	0.02	8	82%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Hunter	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.04	14	65%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Reggie Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.08	-0.00	15	60%	0.06	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	10	41%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.06	0.01	23	27%	-0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.0	33.2	19.4	26.4	3.8	37.3	151.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +27.5%

LAL +29.5%

LAL +34.5%

GSW -44.9%

LAL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	12.6	15.3	121.6	117.5	106.0
season	15.7	13.4		107.9	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.1		110.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	17.1	13.5	14.2	17.4	15.5
GSW	11.7	12.7	14.6	11.4	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	85	86	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.40	8	-5	13	15.4	16.2	-0.80	12.6	12.4	0.23
Derek Fisher	71	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-3	9	15.3	16.0	-0.70	12.6	12.5	0.14
Pau Gasol	73	75	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.41	2	1	1	15.9	14.5	1.39	12.7	12.3	0.39
Andrew Bynum	65	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	-5	13	15.3	15.9	-0.56	12.9	12.1	0.80
Shannon Brown	41	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	7	-11	16.0	15.2	0.74	11.9	13.1	-1.22
Lamar Odom	65	67	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	6	-9	15.5	15.6	-0.09	12.2	13.4	-1.17
Metta World Peace	81	79	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	0	3	15.0	17.3	-2.30	12.9	11.5	1.44
Jordan Farmar	18	18	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	3	-3	15.3	15.6	-0.28	11.4	12.8	-1.40
Sasha Vujacic	11	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	8	-13	18.9	15.1	3.81	14.3	12.4	1.87

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Williams	11	11	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.04	10	-13	23	11.4	12.7	-1.39	11.2	16.0	-4.85
Devean George	36	36	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.13	11	-14	25	14.0	11.9	2.15	14.8	15.9	-1.13
Anthony Morrow	36	36	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-9	15	12.6	12.6	0.06	15.5	15.5	-0.02
CJ Watson	52	50	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.46	13	-16	29	12.4	12.8	-0.44	15.6	15.5	0.10
Anthony Tolliver	58	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	7	-17	12.9	12.2	0.75	16.0	14.9	1.10
Stephen Curry	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	6	-15	11.9	14.2	-2.28	16.0	14.3	1.71
Chris Hunter	77	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	7	-17	12.7	12.2	0.50	15.4	15.8	-0.45
Monta Ellis	98	97	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.39	-10	7	-17	12.7	10.2	2.52	15.3	19.8	-4.51
Corey Maggette	75	74	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.28	-16	13	-29	12.4	13.2	-0.89	16.0	14.1	1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.19,0.07,0.05,0,0	93.0%
BOS 109, LAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.0%
MIN 113, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.6%