NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	108		Excitement	6.5 [494]		MVP	Luis Scola (HOU): +23.5%
Houston Rockets	116		Comeback	1.9 [1063]		LVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): -19.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.12	0.06	8	100%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.04	14	83%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	15	56%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.04	0.02	10	58%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	50%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.19	0,0,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.08	0.04	16	54%	0.01	7	-0.20	9	67%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.25	0.07	0.09	25	79%	0.38	4	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	15	54%	0.08	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.02	16	53%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	11	55%	0.09	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	42%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	30.2	16.4	25.7	1.7	31.3	131.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +10.4%

HOU +17.6%

HOU +25.3%

NJN -3.1%

NJN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	HOU	NBA	NJN	HOU	NBA
this game	15.5	13.8	15.3	110.2	118.4	106.0
season	15.9	15.0		98.7	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.0		106.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.4	15.4	14.1	16.2	15.5
HOU	13.0	15.9	14.1	12.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	36	35	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-8	8	16.2	15.1	1.08	13.1	14.3	-1.14
Josh Boone	64	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-7	6	15.8	15.0	0.87	13.9	13.8	0.10
Brook Lopez	73	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-5	2	15.8	14.8	0.99	13.5	15.1	-1.66
Keyon Dooling	22	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	-3	-2	16.9	15.2	1.71	14.0	13.8	0.26
Kris Humphries	28	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	5	-18	15.3	15.6	-0.31	14.8	13.4	1.39
Devin Harris	81	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-1	-6	15.3	16.9	-1.62	13.6	14.9	-1.32
Courtney Lee	82	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-4	0	15.4	16.4	-1.07	13.8	14.0	-0.18
Jarvis Hayes	47	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-4	0	15.3	15.7	-0.39	14.1	13.6	0.53
Terrence Williams	57	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-5	2	14.9	16.5	-1.63	14.3	13.2	1.14

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	86	86	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-1	10	13.5	16.3	-2.83	15.3	17.0	-1.66
Trevor Ariza	75	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	3	2	13.4	15.2	-1.73	15.6	15.4	0.17
Kyle Lowry	36	37	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-4	16	13.6	14.0	-0.37	16.9	14.7	2.21
Shane Battier	51	50	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	0	8	13.8	13.9	-0.01	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Aaron Brooks	72	73	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	2	4	13.8	14.0	-0.21	15.4	15.9	-0.46
Kevin Martin	73	72	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	7	-6	13.6	14.6	-1.01	14.9	17.4	-2.51
Charles Hayes	20	21	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	7	-6	13.4	13.9	-0.50	16.9	15.2	1.74
Jordan Hill	43	43	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	6	-4	14.0	13.8	0.19	15.3	15.7	-0.42
David Andersen	19	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	9	-10	17.2	13.0	4.17	15.7	15.5	0.22
Chase Budinger	15	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	11	-14	15.9	13.5	2.46	15.9	15.5	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.57,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 95, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.88,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CHI 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	93.7%
POR 85, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%