NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	83		Excitement	3.5 [1084]		MVP	David West (NOH): +7.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Comeback	1.9 [951]		LVP	Darren Collison (NOH): -13.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.05	22	67%	0.13	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	60%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	13	39%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Darius Songaila	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	14	27%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.01	0.06	19	66%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	12	42%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	13	57%	0.07	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	62%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	30.4	15.7	25.2	2.5	26.5	129.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +30.9%

OKC +11.7%

OKC +3.4%

OKC +5.4%

NOH -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	OKC	NBA	NOH	OKC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.3	89.2	104.3	106.0
season	15.5	15.0		106.0	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.1	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.4	15.4	17.9	14.9	15.9
OKC	13.9	14.0	14.2	17.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	32	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-19	23	14.2	16.7	-2.49	17.0	13.9	3.14
Aaron Gray	31	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-16	17	15.7	16.0	-0.26	16.8	13.9	2.91
James Posey	27	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.09	-6	-9	3	15.6	16.0	-0.46	13.6	15.5	-1.92
Morris Peterson	43	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-4	-7	17.0	15.0	1.99	13.9	15.9	-2.00
Julian Wright	73	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-11	7	15.5	17.2	-1.74	15.4	13.3	2.09
Marcus Thornton	64	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-4	-7	15.5	16.8	-1.32	15.3	14.1	1.24
Emeka Okafor	48	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	2	-19	16.4	15.3	1.06	13.5	16.5	-3.00
David West	75	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	3	-21	16.3	14.1	2.26	14.2	18.1	-3.87
Darren Collison	72	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	-2	-11	16.1	15.1	1.02	15.2	13.7	1.49

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	68	68	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.06	21	-6	27	14.0	17.5	-3.51	16.4	14.4	2.03
Russell Westbrook	64	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-3	21	14.1	16.6	-2.46	16.2	15.2	1.03
Nenad Krstic	44	42	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	5	5	14.2	15.6	-1.44	16.9	15.1	1.82
Thabo Sefolosha	48	46	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	9	-3	15.0	14.9	0.07	16.5	15.3	1.14
Jeff Green	71	71	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	3	9	14.8	15.3	-0.50	16.3	14.5	1.75
Nick Collison	41	43	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.15	11	4	7	14.4	15.4	-0.99	15.2	16.5	-1.29
James Harden	28	29	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	7	1	13.8	15.4	-1.57	15.2	16.2	-0.98
Serge Ibaka	51	50	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	13	-11	15.6	14.1	1.53	15.0	17.0	-1.99
Eric Maynor	39	38	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	18	-21	16.7	13.7	3.06	15.0	16.5	-1.49
Kevin Ollie	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	21.9	14.4	7.49	13.5	16.0	-2.55
DJ White	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	21	-27	21.2	14.3	6.96	14.4	16.0	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 85, TOR 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CHI 97, ATL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
MIA 78, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%