NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	131		Excitement	8.2 [205]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (GSW): +64.9%
New Orleans Hornets	135		Comeback	2.8 [582]		LVP	Anthony Tolliver (GSW): -9.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.65	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65	0.31	0.34	0.00	13	104%	0.65	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Reggie Williams	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3	0.18	0.11	-0.01	16	70%	0.37	1	-0.07	8	87%	0.06
Devean George	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.09	-0.00	11	82%	0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	10	75%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Chris Hunter	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	9	55%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.23,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	13	46%	0.06	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	36%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.33,0.4	0.40	0.16	0.24	-0.00	16	72%	0.44	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.06
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.23,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.15	-0.01	19	65%	0.36	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.10	-0.03	6	54%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	12	81%	0.18	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.02	0.02	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08	0.08	-0.07	0.14	-0.00	12	62%	0.25	7	-0.17	2	0%	-0.03
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	3	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	14	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.7	30.1	15.5	23.0	2.4	36.3	137.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +4.9%

NOH +7.7%

NOH +39.4%

GSW -3.0%

NOH +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOH	NBA	GSW	NOH	NBA
this game	12.7	15.8	15.3	129.7	133.7	106.0
season	13.4	15.5		106.5	106.0
opponent	15.2	14.8		108.3	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.6	13.1	13.1	13.3	12.7
NOH	14.1	14.6	18.2	16.7	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	83	82	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-2	0	12.3	14.8	-2.57	15.7	16.0	-0.26
Anthony Tolliver	51	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-12	20	13.5	11.9	1.55	16.4	15.1	1.29
Reggie Williams	71	72	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.44	9	-13	22	12.8	12.6	0.17	15.8	15.9	-0.10
Chris Hunter	37	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	2	-8	12.5	12.8	-0.33	16.7	15.3	1.39
Corey Maggette	48	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	7	-18	12.3	13.1	-0.78	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Devean George	64	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-6	8	12.8	12.5	0.33	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Anthony Morrow	80	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	2	-8	13.0	11.8	1.15	15.7	16.1	-0.38
Stephen Curry	71	72	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.35	-14	10	-24	12.7	12.9	-0.20	15.6	16.4	-0.82

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	85	86	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-8	20	15.7	16.1	-0.40	12.8	12.0	0.85
Darren Collison	97	97	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-1	6	15.9	12.7	3.17	12.7	12.7	-0.03
Emeka Okafor	73	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.24	5	-1	6	15.8	15.7	0.11	12.3	13.8	-1.45
Peja Stojakovic	59	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-6	16	15.2	16.6	-1.46	12.6	13.0	-0.39
Marcus Thornton	61	61	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	6	-8	15.6	16.1	-0.59	12.9	12.5	0.41
Morris Peterson	48	48	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-7	18	15.7	15.8	-0.12	12.3	13.1	-0.78
Darius Songaila	24	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	2	0	15.7	15.8	-0.06	12.5	12.8	-0.24
James Posey	44	44	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.45	-14	18	-32	16.6	15.1	1.50	13.6	12.0	1.62
Julian Wright	14	14	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.05	-9	13	-22	16.4	15.7	0.66	12.9	12.7	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.53,0.52,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.53,0.37,0.86,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 104, LAC 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.47,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.91,0.96,1	90.9%
MIN 87, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.9,1,1	90.0%
PHI 80, PHX 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.66,0.52,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.53,0.64,0.77,0.84,1	89.8%