NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	104		Excitement	8.6 [162]		MVP	Baron Davis (LAC): +17.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	107		Comeback	4.5 [260]		LVP	Corey Maggette (GSW): -23.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.01	17	59%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	14	64%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.14	-0.05	0.03	19	69%	0.14	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Chris Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	9	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	14	36%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.14	-0.10	-0.01	16	31%	-0.17	2	-0.06	10	70%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.02	11	75%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.10	-0.01	6	67%	0.20	3	-0.09	3	0%	-0.05
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.09	0.00	7	43%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.04	0.03	17	67%	0.21	5	-0.21	6	83%	0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	6	44%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.07	-0.03	11	64%	0.15	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.13	-0.03	18	39%	-0.08	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	31.5	16.5	25.6	3.3	33.3	137.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +56.7%

LAC +2.3%

LAC +32.8%

GSW -37.4%

GSW -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.1	15.3	102.0	104.9	106.0
season	13.4	15.5		106.5	101.9
opponent	15.2	14.8		108.5	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.2	14.0	12.3	15.2	14.1
LAC	13.1	12.7	14.9	16.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Hunter	25	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-3	3	14.6	13.9	0.72	15.9	13.6	2.36
Corey Maggette	83	85	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-4	5	13.9	15.1	-1.24	14.2	14.0	0.16
Devean George	44	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	1	-5	14.8	13.6	1.23	14.4	14.0	0.40
Ronny Turiaf	60	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-5	7	14.3	13.8	0.45	13.9	14.5	-0.63
Anthony Tolliver	53	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	7	-17	13.6	14.6	-0.99	13.4	14.9	-1.54
Anthony Morrow	60	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-5	7	14.3	13.8	0.57	15.2	12.7	2.45
Stephen Curry	90	91	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.47	0	-3	3	13.7	17.2	-3.57	13.7	17.5	-3.72
Reggie Williams	95	93	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.48	-6	3	-9	14.2	12.3	1.95	13.8	17.1	-3.26

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	85	84	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-9	21	14.2	13.8	0.45	14.6	11.9	2.62
Steve Novak	36	35	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.45	7	-4	11	13.5	14.5	-0.98	15.3	13.5	1.76
Chris Kaman	73	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	0	3	14.8	12.5	2.26	14.2	13.7	0.48
Steve Blake	99	99	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.45	-1	4	-5	14.1	16.0	-1.92	13.9	19.7	-5.74
Baron Davis	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-9	21	12.9	15.3	-2.47	14.6	13.6	1.02
DeAndre Jordan	94	93	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	3	-3	13.8	17.7	-3.92	13.8	17.1	-3.30
Mardy Collins	40	42	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	6	-9	14.4	14.0	0.47	13.9	14.2	-0.33
Bobby Brown	33	33	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.04	-15	18	-33	15.8	13.3	2.48	12.2	15.0	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.47,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.87,0.95,1	91.7%
ATL 110, CHA 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.47,0.63,0.84,1,1	91.5%
SAC 102, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.26,0.29,0.47,0.62,0.72,0.84,1,1	91.5%