NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	120		Excitement	6.9 [414]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +34.7%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	1.6 [672]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (NYK): -6.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.17	0.17	-0.01	18	67%	0.35	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Zach Randolph	0.22	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.04	0.14	-0.04	24	51%	0.27	2	-0.05	13	85%	0.07
Marc Gasol	0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.01	15	61%	0.21	0	0.00	11	45%	-0.08
Mike Conley	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.09	0.06	11	69%	0.15	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.02	3	87%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Darrell Arthur	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.21	0.10	0.00	18	74%	0.33	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.10	0.00	2	100%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	6	69%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.07	0.02	19	54%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	29.1	18.6	30.6	2.7	33.5	139.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +3.7%

MEM +12.3%

MEM +28.5%

MEM +4.8%

MEM +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NYK	NBA	MEM	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	14.2	15.3	126.3	116.0	106.0
season	15.4	14.7		106.8	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.0	18.8	16.2	16.3	16.2
NYK	14.2	13.3	15.1	14.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	77	78	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.11	22	-11	33	16.6	14.5	2.14	14.3	13.7	0.66
Mike Conley	75	75	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.12	20	-9	29	16.5	15.1	1.43	14.3	14.2	0.10
O.J. Mayo	88	88	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-7	25	16.2	17.0	-0.83	14.3	13.3	0.96
Rudy Gay	87	85	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	0	11	16.3	15.5	0.80	14.5	12.0	2.47
Marcus Williams	31	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	13	-15	15.3	16.7	-1.35	14.4	14.1	0.31
Zach Randolph	78	76	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	7	-3	16.2	16.5	-0.36	14.3	13.8	0.50
DeMarre Carroll	3	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	13	-15	14.3	16.3	-1.96	9.5	14.4	-4.94
Darrell Arthur	15	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	19	-27	16.9	16.1	0.83	14.7	14.2	0.51
Sam Young	21	20	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	19	-27	15.0	16.6	-1.58	12.4	14.7	-2.33

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Walker	48	48	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.02	6	-17	23	13.7	14.8	-1.07	16.7	15.7	0.96
Eddie House	46	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-15	19	13.4	15.1	-1.69	15.4	17.1	-1.70
Al Harrington	78	79	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.29	7	-18	25	14.2	14.4	-0.17	16.7	14.1	2.61
Toney Douglas	19	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-12	13	14.4	14.2	0.17	15.7	16.4	-0.68
Tracy McGrady	31	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	3	-17	13.7	14.5	-0.78	16.0	16.3	-0.34
Sergio Rodriguez	45	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.04	-15	4	-19	14.9	13.7	1.21	17.1	15.5	1.69
Wilson Chandler	73	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	6	-23	14.5	13.4	1.04	15.8	17.7	-1.92
David Lee	81	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	1	-13	14.5	12.3	2.24	16.4	15.5	0.83
Danilo Gallinari	49	50	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.19	-15	4	-19	14.4	14.0	0.45	15.8	16.7	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.12,0.2,0.45,0.22,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.22,0.39,0.05,0,0,0	92.0%
MEM 97, ATL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.54,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.16,0.1,0.16,0	91.9%
MIA 95, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.07,0.09,0.26,0	91.8%