NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	126		Excitement	9.4 [84]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +51.9%
Toronto Raptors	118		Comeback	4.1 [358]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -8.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52	0.23	0.31	0.02	17	72%	0.54	1	-0.02	16	94%	0.11
Mo Williams	0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.02	0.12	-0.01	18	61%	0.30	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.08	-0.03	13	50%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.00	5	85%	0.14	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Parker	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	14	59%	0.05	2	-0.06	9	56%	-0.06
JJ Hickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Jawad Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.01	0.20	0.00	16	56%	0.27	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.02	0.00	14	71%	0.31	3	-0.21	6	100%	0.12
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.04	17	63%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.02	8	56%	0.09	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.09
Amir Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	12	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	8	52%	0.03	1	-0.04	9	56%	-0.06
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.8	2.6	35.2	16.8	25.4	2.3	40.3	1.8	10.9	162.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.4%

TOR -1.8%

TOR -1.6%

CLE +0.7%

CLE +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	16.0	15.3	124.8	120.4	106.0
season	16.1	15.0		109.5	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.0		111.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	15.9	14.4	15.2	17.9	16.8	15.9
TOR	16.8	16.9	16.9	14.0	14.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	79	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-7	22	16.1	15.5	0.51	16.1	15.7	0.39
Antawn Jamison	88	86	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-2	12	16.0	15.5	0.55	15.6	19.2	-3.59
LeBron James	86	84	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	0	8	15.6	17.9	-2.34	15.7	17.6	-1.89
Anderson Varejao	42	44	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	-5	18	16.6	15.4	1.20	16.3	15.8	0.50
Jamario Moon	9	6	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	8	-8	12.6	16.3	-3.72	21.3	15.7	5.66
Mo Williams	71	72	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	0	8	15.7	16.4	-0.65	16.0	16.2	-0.18
Delonte West	47	43	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	9	-10	16.6	15.4	1.23	16.0	16.0	-0.04
Leon Powe	32	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	13	-18	14.9	16.4	-1.56	17.9	15.2	2.66
JJ Hickson	24	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.17	-9	17	-26	16.7	15.7	1.01	16.0	16.0	-0.08
Jawad Williams	17	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	15	-22	16.3	15.9	0.43	14.5	16.3	-1.88

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	30	30	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.06	2	-10	12	15.5	16.2	-0.75	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Reggie Evans	43	44	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.32	11	-19	30	16.9	15.4	1.50	16.2	15.7	0.47
Rasho Nesterovic	37	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-7	6	16.8	15.5	1.27	17.3	15.1	2.18
Antoine Wright	55	59	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-10	12	15.2	17.0	-1.79	15.8	16.1	-0.35
Amir Johnson	11	12	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.14	-14	6	-20	15.1	16.1	-1.05	16.1	15.9	0.16
DeMar DeRozan	34	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	5	-18	17.1	15.5	1.64	16.4	15.7	0.65
Jarrett Jack	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	15.8	16.5	-0.77	15.1	17.6	-2.44
Jose Calderon	48	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-9	10	15.8	16.2	-0.45	16.5	15.4	1.11
Andrea Bargnani	85	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	2	-12	15.8	17.5	-1.75	15.5	19.2	-3.78
Hedo Turkoglu	80	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.16	-13	5	-18	16.2	15.2	0.98	16.0	15.9	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.15,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 114, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	89.8%
CHA 95, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.41,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.16,0	89.5%
DET 99, TOR 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.28,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.26,0.54,0.31,0.04,0.03,0.08,0	89.3%