inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 104 Excitement8.2 [208] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +28.5%
Golden State Warriors 108 Comeback46.2 [15] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -27.1%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.35,0.19,0.190.120.090.022263%0.423-0.235100%0.05
Al Horford0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.030.10-0.08-0.011860%0.073-0.05786%0.01
Marvin Williams0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00756%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jeff Teague0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00343%0.0100.001100%0.00
Mario West0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.090.00-0.02312%-0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Mike Bibby-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.00621%-0.081-0.02250%-0.01
Jamal Crawford-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.210.04-0.240.001553%-0.181-0.032100%0.00
Josh Smith-0.270,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27-0.11-0.17-0.011440%-0.214-0.06729%-0.08

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.280.280.140.170.021878%0.395-0.115100%0.08
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.02-0.001065%0.1100.003100%0.02
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.090.090.010.08-0.012154%0.184-0.09667%-0.00
Andris Biedrins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.040.01367%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00650%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Chris Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04-0.040.04-0.050.03955%-0.0400.00450%-0.01
Anthony Tolliver0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01425%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Anthony Morrow0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.06-0.090.011337%-0.121-0.0410%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.43.728.217.629.33.539.3147.0
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +54.7%
GSW +1.0%
ATL -36.5%
GSW +13.2%
GSW +17.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLGSWNBAATLGSWNBA
this game16.313.415.3107.2111.3106.0
season16.013.4109.4106.5
opponent14.815.8110.0106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL14.517.412.121.816.3
GSW14.911.415.611.513.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams61600.10-0.600.700.071-5615.417.7-2.2714.411.82.65
Jeff Teague24260.05-0.550.590.08-1-3215.516.5-0.9712.013.9-1.94
Mario West89-0.13-0.370.240.05-62-822.415.76.667.614.0-6.47
Zaza Pachulia2527-0.19-0.310.120.22-1410-2419.015.33.7311.114.3-3.20
Mike Bibby5957-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.466-101616.116.6-0.5514.312.12.17
Josh Smith7878-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.433-71015.818.0-2.1513.911.52.36
Al Horford7573-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.534-81215.519.0-3.4714.111.52.55
Joe Johnson8383-0.540.04-0.58-0.48-2-2016.316.00.3113.711.91.83
Jamal Crawford7272-0.740.24-0.97-0.41-117-1817.014.22.7912.516.0-3.42

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Hunter38390.91-0.411.320.3818-143211.514.6-3.1218.215.03.20
CJ Watson63630.75-0.250.990.3414-102412.714.8-2.1617.414.13.36
Andris Biedrins63640.58-0.080.650.4640414.012.41.5117.414.03.44
Stephen Curry90910.52-0.020.530.375-1613.79.74.0016.414.51.88
Anthony Morrow54550.250.250.010.057-31013.713.10.6316.016.6-0.66
Anthony Tolliver4139-0.010.51-0.52-0.1031214.712.52.1814.317.6-3.24
Monta Ellis8382-0.090.59-0.680.35-1519-3413.712.01.6615.420.9-5.44
Devean George5352-0.410.91-1.310.06-1620-3612.914.0-1.1014.817.9-3.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.21,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.45,0.34,0.41,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 110, DEN 1150.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.42,189.7%
IND 91, BOS 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.15,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.4,0.67,0.81,0.46,0.34,0.17,189.6%
DAL 99, DEN 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.58,189.4%