NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	125		Excitement	8.9 [128]		MVP	T.J. Ford (IND): +36.6%
Houston Rockets	115		Comeback	4.7 [79]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): -14.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Ford	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.10	0.24	-0.03	19	56%	0.37	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.26	0.03	0.10	17	84%	0.25	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	15	50%	0.11	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.03
Solomon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luther Head	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	23%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	4	27%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	62%	0.06	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	8	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	6	92%	0.21	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	11	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	17	62%	0.13	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.07	1	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	9	27%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	16	34%	-0.07	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	0.07	-0.19	0.03	20	63%	0.09	4	-0.24	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	29.9	13.0	27.0	2.0	33.2	132.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.8%

IND +0.1%

HOU -0.2%

IND +15.4%

IND +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	HOU	NBA	IND	HOU	NBA
this game	14.1	13.3	15.3	117.9	110.6	106.0
season	14.2	15.0		102.2	106.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.1	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.4	13.5	12.5	17.7	14.1
HOU	13.8	11.3	14.7	13.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Jones	42	43	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.25	15	-5	20	15.5	13.2	2.32	12.5	13.9	-1.42
T.J. Ford	54	54	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-2	14	14.8	13.4	1.45	11.9	14.8	-2.97
Troy Murphy	82	81	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-1	12	14.0	14.7	-0.76	14.2	10.2	3.96
Mike Dunleavy	53	53	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	2	6	15.1	13.1	2.02	12.1	14.6	-2.53
Danny Granger	81	79	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	0	10	13.8	15.2	-1.41	14.0	11.0	3.08
Luther Head	33	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	9	-8	14.3	14.1	0.22	11.7	14.1	-2.39
Roy Hibbert	58	53	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	7	-4	13.3	15.1	-1.79	14.0	12.6	1.43
Brandon Rush	54	52	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.11	-1	11	-12	13.5	14.8	-1.27	14.3	12.3	2.06
Earl Watson	54	53	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.08	-3	13	-16	13.1	15.1	-1.99	14.7	11.8	2.85
Dahntay Jones	19	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.00	-6	16	-22	15.1	13.9	1.20	10.1	14.0	-3.97

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	35	35	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.06	7	-17	24	12.4	13.8	-1.40	16.1	13.1	3.02
Garrett Temple	17	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-10	10	13.5	13.3	0.28	18.2	13.4	4.79
Charles Hayes	26	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-5	0	16.3	12.3	4.01	13.2	14.5	-1.21
David Andersen	51	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-9	8	12.0	14.5	-2.51	14.2	14.1	0.11
Luis Scola	79	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-6	2	13.7	11.9	1.81	14.0	14.6	-0.62
Aaron Brooks	87	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	0	-10	13.3	13.5	-0.28	13.4	18.2	-4.79
Trevor Ariza	77	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	2	-14	13.9	11.5	2.40	13.5	16.0	-2.57
Shane Battier	77	78	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.16	-16	6	-22	13.9	11.7	2.15	14.2	14.0	0.17
Kevin Martin	71	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	-1	-8	11.8	16.5	-4.71	14.3	13.8	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.66,0.25,0.28,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 115, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.47,0.31,0.21,0.02,0,0	92.7%
LAC 100, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.41,0.54,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.06,0.08,0	92.2%
IND 116, MEM 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.46,0.24,0.11,0.03,0,0	91.9%