NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	96		Excitement	8.6 [163]		MVP	Jonny Flynn (MIN): +40.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	1.6 [730]		LVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): -16.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,0.3	-0.00	0.30	-0.00	7	43%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	7	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	82%	0.12	2	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.05	0.00	9	52%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.04	-0.07	0.10	-0.01	8	30%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.08
Julian Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Chris Paul	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.04,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	14	64%	0.18	4	-0.17	8	87%	0.03
Devin Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	5	40%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	8	50%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.4	0.40	0.09	0.33	0.02	13	74%	0.50	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.08
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	9	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	5	20%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.04,-0.16	-0.16	0.02	-0.17	0.01	11	59%	0.06	2	-0.22	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.15	0.00	21	54%	-0.03	5	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	34.1	15.8	26.0	2.5	38.5	145.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +38.3%

MIN -7.4%

MIN -24.7%

NOH +38.4%

NOH +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIN	NBA	NOH	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.3	15.3	102.1	100.0	106.0
season	15.5	14.7		106.0	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.2		109.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.4	14.6	15.0	16.3	15.3
MIN	15.2	14.2	15.6	16.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	40	42	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-10	22	14.1	16.2	-2.17	16.9	14.1	2.78
Julian Wright	35	35	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-9	20	16.0	14.9	1.04	17.1	14.2	2.91
James Posey	52	52	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.45	-3	5	-8	15.0	15.7	-0.76	15.2	15.4	-0.15
Peja Stojakovic	58	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	1	0	14.8	16.2	-1.46	15.3	15.4	-0.16
Darius Songaila	50	50	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	-1	4	15.2	15.4	-0.21	13.7	17.2	-3.50
Marcus Thornton	34	34	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.19	2	0	2	16.4	14.7	1.71	15.7	15.1	0.61
Chris Paul	75	74	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.37	-9	11	-20	15.6	14.4	1.19	14.4	18.8	-4.49
David West	23	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	0	2	14.2	15.7	-1.52	15.9	15.1	0.80
Emeka Okafor	59	58	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	8	-14	16.2	13.8	2.47	15.9	14.3	1.64
Devin Brown	39	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	3	-4	15.2	15.4	-0.24	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Sean Marks	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	4	-6	16.2	15.3	0.93	10.2	15.6	-5.41

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	62	66	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.10	7	-9	16	15.7	14.6	1.15	15.8	14.2	1.52
Kevin Love	49	46	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-6	10	15.8	14.8	1.04	13.9	16.7	-2.75
Ryan Gomes	39	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	5	-12	14.4	15.9	-1.51	15.9	14.9	1.03
Brian Cardinal	21	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-5	8	15.9	15.2	0.75	17.4	14.7	2.67
Sasha Pavlovic	27	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	2	-6	13.6	16.0	-2.37	15.0	15.4	-0.44
Ryan Hollins	30	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	1	-4	15.4	15.3	0.07	14.2	15.8	-1.52
Jonny Flynn	52	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	1	-4	15.4	15.2	0.23	14.4	16.4	-1.99
Ramon Sessions	50	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-6	10	14.3	16.5	-2.13	16.1	14.4	1.66
Damien Wilkins	45	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-1	0	17.1	13.7	3.44	15.6	15.1	0.52
Corey Brewer	50	53	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.53	-4	2	-6	16.8	13.6	3.16	15.4	15.2	0.26
Wayne Ellington	45	42	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.53	-6	4	-10	13.3	17.2	-3.94	15.2	15.4	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.32,0.21,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.43,0.42,0	92.0%
DET 105, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.29,0.33,0.16,0	91.6%
MIA 92, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.17,0.28,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.58,0	91.2%