NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	4.6 [872]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DEN): +11.1%
Denver Nuggets	105		Comeback	1.6 [1245]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (DEN): -14.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	18	62%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Love	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	12	57%	0.08	2	-0.03	11	91%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Jawai	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	24	46%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.01	-0.07	13	26%	-0.04	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	9%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	6	14%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.03	11	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.05	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	17	65%	0.13	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	12	50%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	57%	0.06	2	-0.02	7	43%	-0.05
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	12	62%	0.09	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	14	27%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	30.9	16.0	26.6	1.8	32.9	138.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +46.2%

MIN -8.1%

DEN +0.8%

DEN +6.7%

DEN +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DEN	NBA	MIN	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.0	15.3	96.9	108.2	106.0
season	14.7	14.4		100.1	110.3
opponent	15.5	14.8		106.4	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.2	15.3	16.6	14.6	15.6
DEN	13.3	14.7	15.4	13.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	2	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-8	5	16.5	15.6	0.87	18.5	13.9	4.55
Nathan Jawai	23	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-9	7	15.5	15.7	-0.17	16.3	13.3	2.99
Sasha Pavlovic	7	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-7	3	20.6	15.3	5.30	11.1	14.3	-3.18
Damien Wilkins	37	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-8	5	16.2	15.3	0.92	14.3	13.9	0.42
Brian Cardinal	8	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-3	-5	16.5	15.6	0.93	10.9	14.4	-3.47
Ryan Gomes	46	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-6	1	14.3	16.9	-2.60	14.4	13.7	0.79
Wayne Ellington	25	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-3	-5	16.2	15.5	0.74	13.7	14.2	-0.50
Jonny Flynn	62	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-8	5	15.6	15.7	-0.06	13.7	14.7	-0.98
Ramon Sessions	35	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-3	-5	15.7	15.6	0.06	14.7	13.7	0.98
Kevin Love	76	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-11	11	15.6	15.8	-0.14	14.1	13.9	0.17
Corey Brewer	80	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-11	11	15.7	15.6	0.07	13.9	14.7	-0.85
Al Jefferson	84	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.13	-11	0	-11	15.5	16.5	-0.94	13.8	15.5	-1.77

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	67	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	2	7	14.1	14.0	0.06	15.8	15.4	0.32
Kenyon Martin	64	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-3	17	14.1	13.9	0.25	16.1	14.7	1.34
J.R. Smith	53	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	1	9	14.5	13.4	1.12	15.9	15.3	0.61
Carmelo Anthony	70	71	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	1	9	13.1	16.4	-3.33	16.1	14.5	1.62
Chris Andersen	53	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	2	7	14.3	13.7	0.62	15.1	16.3	-1.21
Arron Afflalo	63	62	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	5	1	14.6	13.0	1.56	15.6	15.7	-0.06
Nene	73	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	11	-11	13.8	14.8	-1.05	16.0	14.7	1.26
Anthony Carter	37	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	12	-13	14.1	14.0	0.06	14.6	16.4	-1.82
Malik Allen	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	13.7	14.1	-0.30	9.7	15.9	-6.15
Joey Graham	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	15.0	14.0	0.97	7.0	15.7	-8.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 73, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
UTA 95, DAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
GSW 86, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%