NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	5.8 [634]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (SAS): +16.4%
San Antonio Spurs	112		Comeback	1.4 [1118]		LVP	Chris Wilcox (DET): -15.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	15	47%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	22	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Austin Daye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	7	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Ben Gordon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	12	39%	-0.01	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02
Chris Wilcox	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	4	33%	-0.04	3	-0.12	4	0%	-0.06

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.00	10	68%	0.16	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.02	10	64%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.05	0.01	16	56%	0.12	5	-0.09	9	78%	0.01
Malik Hairston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.07	4	77%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	32.5	16.7	28.1	2.3	31.6	138.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +54.4%

SAS +9.0%

DET -20.8%

SAS +11.5%

DET -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	SAS	NBA	DET	SAS	NBA
this game	16.7	15.7	15.3	102.2	127.3	106.0
season	16.8	15.9		104.0	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.2		103.4	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.2	17.0	15.6	19.0	16.7
SAS	17.5	14.1	15.7	15.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	51	50	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-25	30	15.6	18.1	-2.45	15.6	15.8	-0.18
Jason Maxiell	46	46	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-20	20	15.7	17.7	-2.08	16.4	14.8	1.58
Rodney Stuckey	50	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-21	22	15.0	18.8	-3.75	16.0	15.3	0.76
Kwame Brown	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-16	12	17.0	16.7	0.33	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Jonas Jerebko	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-16	12	17.0	16.7	0.33	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Austin Daye	8	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-16	12	15.9	16.8	-0.89	12.4	16.0	-3.61
Richard Hamilton	66	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-16	12	15.8	19.0	-3.21	16.2	14.2	1.95
Chucky Atkins	22	23	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	-5	-10	19.1	15.9	3.24	16.4	15.4	1.05
Ben Gordon	50	51	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	-4	-12	18.3	14.6	3.71	14.9	16.7	-1.85
Tayshaun Prince	70	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.00	-18	-2	-16	16.8	16.2	0.56	15.7	15.6	0.05
Charlie Villanueva	44	42	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.00	-20	0	-20	17.7	15.7	2.08	14.8	16.4	-1.58
Chris Wilcox	35	34	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.03	-21	1	-22	18.2	15.7	2.47	15.9	15.5	0.32

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	42	42	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	1	18	16.5	14.8	1.70	17.6	15.9	1.79
Richard Jefferson	48	51	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	10	0	15.1	16.3	-1.22	16.2	17.4	-1.18
Antonio McDyess	30	31	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	9	2	17.0	15.0	2.03	19.3	15.3	4.02
George Hill	30	33	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	2	16	16.7	15.1	1.58	17.4	16.3	1.07
Tony Parker	66	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	10	0	15.2	17.1	-1.91	16.8	16.3	0.48
Manu Ginobili	55	56	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	7	6	15.1	16.6	-1.52	16.9	16.4	0.45
Tim Duncan	58	61	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.10	8	12	-4	15.1	16.7	-1.63	15.0	20.3	-5.29
Marcus Haislip	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	18	-16	16.3	15.6	0.72	18.2	16.6	1.60
Malik Hairston	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	18	-16	16.3	15.6	0.72	18.2	16.6	1.60
Keith Bogans	50	54	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.24	7	13	-6	15.0	16.5	-1.43	16.1	17.6	-1.54
DeJuan Blair	49	46	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	20	-20	16.4	14.7	1.64	16.4	17.0	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 78, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
TOR 97, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
SEA 102, DAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%